Ok, season starts this week. It's time to roll out the predictions.

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Twins
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: Red Sox

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Brew Crew -> huge reach, but fuck the Cards
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Bravos -> really I should pick the Phillies but fuck 'em

AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez in his Bronx farewell tour. Win the MVP and say peace out...
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana -> if this differs for anyone then they are wrong
AL RoY: Dice-K

NL MVP: Jose Reyes
NL Cy Young: Roy Oswalt
NL RoY: Stephen Drew -> I didn't look up his ABs/games; is he eligible? -- if not, then Mike Pelfrey

[Edited on March 27, 2007 at 1:41 PM. Reason : x]

3/27/2007 1:40:29 PM

World Series Winners: Mariners
Cy Young: Felix Hernandez
AL MVP: Raul Ibanez
AL RoY: Jeff Clement

Then I woke up...

3/27/2007 1:43:43 PM

AL RoY = Alex Gordon

3/27/2007 1:49:19 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Twins
AL West: Athletics
AL Wildcard: Red Sox (ChiSox make it a good race)

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Phillies (just because it's a tossup between them and Braves, and NyM410 picked ATL)

MVPs: Joe Mauer (MIN) & Carlos Beltran (NYM)
Cy Youngs: Santana (MIN; Rivera close 2nd) & Sheets (MIL)
RoY: Daisuke Matsuzaka (BOS; mainly for all publicity beats out NYY's Philip Hughes) & Chris Young (ARI)

3/27/2007 1:55:32 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Good Guys
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: Tigers

NL East: Phillies
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: D'Backs
NL Wildcard: Reds

AL MVP: Paul Konerko or Ichiro (he's in a contract year)
AL Cy Young: Javier Vasquez
AL RoY: 'Da Meat Hook's younger brother
AL Manager: Oswaldo

NL MVP: BIG ALBERTO
NL Cy Young: Carpenter
NL RoY: Chris Young, D'Backs
NL Manager: Charie Manual

3/27/2007 2:00:18 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Twins
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: Red Sox

NL East: Braves
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Phillies

AL MVP: Jeter
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
AL RoY:

NL MVP: Andruw Jones (showing off before big Free Agency comes around)
NL Cy Young: Pettite
NL RoY:

3/27/2007 2:02:33 PM

I predict that Pettite only gets 5-7 starts before suffering a career ending shoulder injury

3/27/2007 2:04:55 PM

lol, I was waiting to see when the first "ARE YOU KIDDING" posts would come rolling in.

3/27/2007 2:08:52 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Twins
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: Red Sox

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Phillies

AL MVP: Jeter
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
AL RoY: Philip Hughes (ok more likely to be Dice-K, but I'm a bombers fan)

NL MVP: Carlos Beltran
NL Cy Young: Pettite
NL RoY:Chris Young

3/27/2007 2:14:44 PM

Um, you guys are aware that Andy Pettitte is on the Yankees and can't win the NL Cy Young, right?

[Edited on March 27, 2007 at 2:21 PM. Reason : unless of course you mean Y. Petit is going to come out of nowhere and take home some hardware]

3/27/2007 2:20:04 PM

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Rangers (I can dream...probably Athletics)
AL Wildcard: Twins

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Astros
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Padres

AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
AL RoY: Daisuke Matsuzaka

NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Chris Carpenter
NL RoY: Chris Young

3/27/2007 2:27:30 PM

well, that shows who's paying attention

3/27/2007 2:27:45 PM

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Twins
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: Yankees

NL East: Braves
NL Central: Astros
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Cardinals

AL MVP: David Ortiz
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
AL RoY: Delmon Young

NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Jake Peavy
NL RoY: Chris B Young

3/27/2007 2:32:03 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Twins
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: Red Sox

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Cardinals

AL MVP: A-Rod is gonna have a huge year
AL Cy Young: Santana
AL RoY: Dice-K
NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Chris Carpenter
NL RoY: Lastings Milliage (is he elligable?)

3/27/2007 2:32:18 PM

I don't care.


Not at all.

3/27/2007 2:41:04 PM

Indians all the way! hopefully their fielding wont be so crappy this year.

3/27/2007 2:48:22 PM

^^ then why bother in the thread? troll.

[Edited on March 27, 2007 at 2:54 PM. Reason : fat fuck.]

3/27/2007 2:54:19 PM

Lastings Milledge does NOT qualify. He has 166 Career ABs

In order to qualify officially as a 'Rookie' in MLB, a player must not have had ANY ONE of the following:
1. 130 AB's (At Bat's)
2. 50 IP (Innings Pitched)
3. 45 days on a Major League roster during the 25-man limit (i.e., before September 1). Time in military service or on the disabled list does not count against this limit.

3/27/2007 3:04:00 PM

Drew isn't eligible either. My pick is Mike Pelfrey for NL RoY now...

how long until Crede shows up calling this thread retarded because no one can get predictions correct?

[Edited on March 27, 2007 at 3:07 PM. Reason : x]

3/27/2007 3:05:22 PM

^i'm going to agree with you on Pelfrey. I just thinK Chris Young is overrated.

3/27/2007 3:32:06 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: A's
AL WC: Red Sox

NL East: Braves
NL Central: Cards
NL West: Dodgers
NL WC: Phillies

AL MVP: A-Rod
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
AL ROY: Delmon Young

NL MVP: Ryan Howard
NL Cy Young: Chris Carpenter
NL ROY: Chris Young

3/27/2007 4:23:20 PM

I don't understand how it's so popular for the Yankees to win the division. Don't get me wrong, they're a good team with an extremely potent lineup, and they definitely have a good shot at winning. But they've got a subpar rotation and a bullpen in no better shape.

I just wouldn't expect every single person to post here except 2 to pick them.

[Edited on March 27, 2007 at 4:28 PM. Reason : a]

3/27/2007 4:27:50 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: White Sox

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Diamondbacks
NL Wildcard: Astros

AL MVP: Derek Jeter
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
AL RoY: Dice-K

NL MVP: Derrick Lee
NL Cy Young: Randy Johnson (no I'm not kidding)
NL RoY: Chris B. Young

3/27/2007 5:05:42 PM

I'm sure eeveryone remembers how I dominated this thread last year.

If not, Ill just re-dominate for you

AL East: Yanks (who else would i pick, TB?)

AL Central: Det (repeat the magic, too much balance not to)

AL West: Oakland (get down early, make the move late as usual)

AL Wildcard (BoSox, THEY HAVE AN ASIAN!!!)

NL East: Mets (They have some stiff competition if the Phillies get a pitching staff, the Marlins grow up together, or the Nationals get a payroll. Hell, if the Braves get lucky they could even go .500)

NL Central: Cardinals (If the Pirates go .500 ill jerk off in my g/f's face for a fortnight)

NL West LA Dodgers (do these teams even count? Serisouly their games end at like 3 AM EST and none of them are competitive)

NL Wildcard: Cincinatti Reds. Do they still have Jose REyo and Chris Sabo? No? Oh well, good thing the nL sucks so they can still make it


AL MVP: Justin Morneau, we all know the fans love a white guy
AL CY: Johan Santana cause he has a pretty face

NL MVP: Albierto Pujoles, you may not have heard of him but since taking steroids in '02 he's become a really good power hitter

NL CY: Aaron Harang, No this will never happen but this guy boosted me to a fantasy championship last year so ill just throw his name out there for good luck


Most likely to get hurt playing Guitar Hero on Nintendo Wii and cost me a $HUGE bet on the World Series by walking every batter: Joel Zumaya

NL MVP

3/27/2007 5:16:28 PM

AL East: Red Sox (This is the year)
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Angels
AL WC: Yankees

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cincinnati
NL West: Giants
NL WC: Cards

AL MVP: A-Rod
AL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
AL ROY: Daisuke Matsuzaka

NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Carlos Zambrano
NL ROY: Mike Pelfrey

3/27/2007 6:57:09 PM

red sox, tigers, angels, white sox

braves, cardinals, dogers, cubs

roy: matsuzaka, justin upton
mvp: mauer, pujols
cy young: santana, peavy

world series: red sox over dodgers

3/27/2007 7:00:18 PM

WHO CARES, BASEBALL FUCKING SUCKS


now excuse me while i tend to my fantasy team

3/27/2007 7:12:46 PM

I'm looking forward to seeing what happens in the NL West, I think it's the most wide open race in all of MLB

well, open to everyone but the Rockies anyways

3/27/2007 7:35:58 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard: Red Sox

NL East: Phillies
NL Central: Reds
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Marlins

World Series: Angels over Marlins

3/27/2007 8:03:17 PM

Flying under the radar, nice. And, for the record, 97% of these predictions are wrong.

3/27/2007 9:14:01 PM

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Brewers
NL West: Giants

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Angels

NL Wildcard: Reds
AL Wildcard: Red Sox

NL MVP: Chase Utley
AL MVP: Justin Morneau
AL Cy: Roy Hallady
NL Cy: Matt Cain

World Series: Mets over Indians


The Nationals will lose 100 games.

[Edited on March 27, 2007 at 10:49 PM. Reason : .]

3/27/2007 10:34:52 PM

i predict a 20 win season for Vasquez


...and for the Pirates

3/27/2007 11:24:35 PM

The Pirates are going to kick some ass this season. Well, LaRoche will at least.

3/27/2007 11:30:48 PM

tigers
tigers
tigers
tigers
tigers

3/27/2007 11:45:47 PM

Quote :

"And, for the record, 97% of these predictions are wrong."

LOL, going the safe route this year... learned your lesson?

Quote :

"and for the Pirates"

that hurt

3/28/2007 2:09:37 AM

AL East: Dylan
AL Central: Dylan
AL West: Dylan
AL Wildcard: Dylan

NL East: Dylan
NL Central: Dylan
NL West: Dylan
NL Wildcard: Dylan

AL MVP: Dylan
AL Cy Young: Dylan
AL RoY: Dylan

NL MVP: Dylan
NL Cy Young: Dylan
NL RoY: Dylan

3/28/2007 8:45:58 AM

watch out for the AL central this year. Twins bring their shit every year, without a doubt. But the ChiSox will rebound after a tough year, the Tigers just went to a World Series, and keep an eye out on the Cleveland Indians. Thats right, I'm calling it right now, they get the wildcard.

3/28/2007 1:15:17 PM

90 wins = tough year

3/28/2007 1:43:46 PM

AL East: Yanks
AL Central: Tribe
AL West: A's
AL Wildcard: Jays

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cards
NL West: Giants
NL Wildcard: BrewCrew

AL MVP: A Rod
AL Cy Young: Rich Harden
AL RoY: does matsuzaka count?
AL comeback poy: Mikey Pizza

NL MVP: Ryan Howard
NL Cy Young: Zito
NL RoY: C. Young
NL comeback poy: Biggio

WS: A's over Giants just like in '89 !

3/28/2007 2:05:55 PM

Barry Zito will pull a Marquis this year.

3/28/2007 2:09:07 PM

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Twins
AL West: As
AL Wildcard: Tigers

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: Padres (this division blows)
NL Wildcard: Phillies

AL MVP: Nick Swisher (in a huge upset over Morneau, Jeter, Papi, etc)
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
AL RoY: Dice-K

NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Chris Carpenter
NL RoY:Chris Young (This is the kid that played bball at Princeton too right?, if so yes him)

3/29/2007 1:00:56 AM

Quote :

"Barry Zito will pull a Marquis this year."

You mean start off great, then start losing a lot after the All-Star break?

AL East: Yankees (They always find a way)
AL Central: Twins
AL West: Athletics
AL Wildcard: Red Sox

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cardinals/Astros
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard: Cardinals/Astros

AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez/Derek Jeter
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana/Roy Halladay
AL RoY: Dice-K

NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL Cy Young: Chris Carpenter/Jason Schmidt
NL RoY: Stephen Drew/Josh Hamilton (if eligible) (Wild Card Pick: Alejandro De Aza - Saw him come up through Carolina, now Marlins starting CF)

3/29/2007 8:30:15 AM

OPEN YOUR EYES FAGGOTS

weighted averages of ERA+ for braves, phillies, and mets projected starters over last three seasons:

 04  05  06
-----------
157 144 126 Smoltz
133 125  91 Hudson
        116 James
     89  53 Davies
55   86  90 Cormier
-----------
115 111  95 | WEIGHTED AVERAGE = 103


 79 122 118 Myers
121 115 103 Garcia
 83 101 102 Moyer
         92 Hamels
 87  90  92 Eaton
-----------
 92 107 105 | WEIGHTED AVERAGE = 103


119 118 113 Glavine
136  87  95 Hernandez
     66 120 Maine (only 26 total GP)
139  73  68 Perez
         79 Pelfrey (only 4 GP)
-----------
131  86  95 | WEIGHTED AVERAGE = 98

3/29/2007 12:18:40 PM

Yeah, because that matters. Do you realize what the Mets rotation was for large parts of last year? Jeremi Gonzalez and freaking Jose Lima were in it for a month at a time. Steve Trachsel was the worst 15 game winner in the Mets history. Victor Zambrano was there for the first 2 months..

Braves fans seem to think fatboy in the 9th will close the 18 game gap or whatever huge number it ended up being after the Mets were pissing around as early as May b/c they had the division locked up. It ain't that easy...

In case you haven't noticed your little numbers show a downward trend for the Braves, which isn't the case for the Mets [or Phillies]. Plus, Oliver Perez is a completely different pitcher under Rick Peterson (his velocity is touching 97 and stead b/t 92 and 94 whereas his last year years in PIT it was in the upper 80's) and Maine and Pelfrey were both Top 50 prospects (via Baseball America) who have very high ceilings and will progress upward as their development goes forward.

[Edited on March 29, 2007 at 12:30 PM. Reason : fwiw cormier, davies, and james were never has highly rated as ANY of the 3 mets young guns..]

3/29/2007 12:25:39 PM

Quote :

"Yeah, because that matters"

yeah era+ matters, dummy

Quote :

" Do you realize what the Mets rotation was for large parts of last year? Jeremi Gonzalez and freaking Jose Lima were in it for a month at a time. Steve Trachsel was the worst 15 game winner in the Mets history. Victor Zambrano was there for the first 2 months"

none of whom are represented in the numbers above

what are you talking about?

Quote :

"Braves fans seem to think fatboy in the 9th will close the 18 game gap"

big bob is just the first piece of the puzzle

our pen is completely overhauled, our starters are all showing signs of improvement, and don't forget our offense was the second best in the NL -- behind the phillies, not the mets

also, billy wagner will be a non-factor this year -- no way can the mets hand him the ball 50 times with a chance for the save, the pen is pretty good but the starting pitching is HORRID

Quote :

"In case you haven't noticed your little numbers show a downward trend for the Braves, which isn't the case for the Mets [or Phillies]"

?

i'm looking at sagging numbers for glavine, hernandez, and perez on my screen

Quote :

"fwiw cormier, davies, and james were never has highly rated as ANY of the 3 mets young guns.."

let me know when baseball america starts awarding world series trophies

[Edited on March 29, 2007 at 12:31 PM. Reason : ]

3/29/2007 12:31:04 PM

Quote :

"none of whom are represented in the numbers above what are you talking about?"

The ERA+ for the Mets last year with those guys was god awful. Far worse than it is projected to be this year. Still, the division was over my mid May.

Quote :

"big bob is just the first piece of the puzzle our pen is completely overhauled, our starters are all showing signs of improvement, and don't forget our offense was the second best in the NL -- behind the phillies, not the mets also, billy wagner will be a non-factor this year -- no way can the mets hand him the ball 50 times with a chance for the save, the pen is pretty good but the starting pitching is HORRID"

The starting pitching is on par with the Braves and slightly below Philly if you really look at it. Each team has questions (Smoltz is getting older, Hudson SUCKED last year, James is a nibbling soph, Davies wasn't very good last year, Cormier is a young scrub). The Phillies pen is the worst in the division though. Wags will be fine. 4-5 blown saves, 40 saves, and a ~2.25 ERA. Just like always. No reason to worry at all. Plus he has a splitter now to take some of the stress off of his arm.

Quote :

"? i'm looking at sagging numbers for glavine, hernandez, and perez on my screen "

Maybe you should look at the averages you posted. The only team that has gone down from the previous year each time is your boys. In '06 the Mets and Braves pitchers listed had identical 95 averages.

Quote :

"let me know when baseball america starts awarding world series trophies"

I don't think I insinuated that. Just that the Mets young 3 have higher ceilings and more projectability than do the Braves young 3. I don't think you'd find a GM in America that thinks the Braves have better young pitching than the Mets. In fact the Mets have one of the fastest rising farm systems in the game (<3 Omar)

3/29/2007 12:36:54 PM

we have all season to argue so i'm not going to blow my load here

however

Quote :

" Wags will be fine. 4-5 blown saves, 40 saves, and a ~2.25 ERA. Just like always. No reason to worry at all. Plus he has a splitter now to take some of the stress off of his arm."

i never meant to imply that wagner would blow saves -- he's still the best closer in the division

but there is no way in hell that the mets rotation can consistently pitch 6 or 7 quality innings, night in and night out, all season long

the starters will be blowing save opportunities before billy boy can take off his warm up jacket

3/29/2007 12:43:16 PM