lewisje
All American
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Nate Silver's looking to have gotten a lot of stuff wrong, like he called MT-Sen wrong and was way off on ND-Sen, and not only was OH not the Presidential tipping-point (it was CO), but Obama could have lost FL, OH, and VA and been fine, with the real worrying starting if he were behind by like 3 points nationally (Nate Silver forecast that Obama would only need to have been 1.7% behind nationally to be the EV underdog): http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/08/as-nation-and-parties-change-republicans-are-at-an-electoral-college-disadvantage/
Still that level of error is expected, like it's more likely he'd get a couple states wrong than none at all, and he and the other aggregators did much better than the Rethugnican hacks at Faux News.
BTW not all right-wing election forecasters were as deluded as the typical right-winger; consider the Jesus-loving Election Projection, which only got one Presidential state, two Senate races, and one Governor's race wrong, using much less sophisticated methods than Silver: http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov12/barack_obama_re_elected_election_projection_4950_the_polls_werent_skewed_110712.php  11/9/2012 12:03:51 AM
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