I'm in Cary off of Seabrook and we've got a decent layer of white stuff on everything.

1/29/2010 8:10:57 PM

in raleigh/cary by crossroads and everything is covered

1/29/2010 8:25:57 PM

yeahh cars are covered in Cary.. parking lot is still black though. not sure if it's frozen and/or freezing though. and i really dont feel like going outside to find out

1/29/2010 8:27:30 PM

LOL the local on the 8s on the Weather Channel is playing the Shaft theme

1/29/2010 8:39:57 PM

just started snowing in fuquay. you guys in northern wake got lucky with that initial band. took a while for it to get to the southern tier

1/29/2010 8:44:09 PM

It’s stopped snowing here by Crabtree about 45 minutes ago and hasn’t started back.

1/29/2010 8:54:22 PM

so it's over then?

1/29/2010 8:56:25 PM

still snowing in south raleigh.

1/29/2010 9:03:49 PM

the real storm won't start until around midnight and will go through most of the day and evening tomorrow. this was just a very small band at the front.

this is nowhere near over. it's hardly just begun.

1/29/2010 9:05:50 PM

relax guys. your real stuff is still back in alabama, tenn and georgia.

1/29/2010 9:06:57 PM

Yeah, this is going to go on through tomorrow night. Small dry pockets don't mean anything. But for the record, it hasn't stopped in Cary yet

1/29/2010 9:10:17 PM

yeah, it should really start filling in from the SE overnight. i haven't really looked at too much, but 6"+ is very likely with a storm like this. plenty of Gulf moisture to tap into.

what amazes me is how cold it is going to be in Raleigh the next few days. a decent possibility for single digit lows overnight on Sunday. again, i haven't looked at too much model data, but that is an exceptionally cold outbreak for a system that didn't seem to originate in Canada.

1/29/2010 9:15:59 PM

WRAL reporting that Trailwood Drive is shut down near Avent Ferry Road because of snow and ice on the hill.

http://www.wral.com/weather/story/6917289/

1/29/2010 9:47:58 PM

WRAL is reporting that the huge blob down by florida panhandle (a "convection" as they called it) is going to prohibit anywhere near the forecasted levels of snow from falling on NC

[Edited on January 29, 2010 at 10:04 PM. Reason : s]

1/29/2010 10:03:41 PM

^wtf is that? "convection"?

1/29/2010 10:04:21 PM

its that giant blob down there - the meteorologist (not fishel) said it was convection and would break up all the snow that is headed our way

1/29/2010 10:08:07 PM

dry with a little drizzle tomorrow... I hate mike mays

1/29/2010 10:19:44 PM

meh, huffman already fended that off, says convection can add to precip just as easily as it can take it away.

maze doesn't know his arse from a hole in the ground. did they predict Durham would get 2 inches by 9 PM? no. WRAL has no clue.

"I have also heard some make mention of the worry that Gulf convection (storms) will rob the area of moisture transport and thus reduce QPF amounts. I have attached a graphic courtesy of research done by Mahoney and Lackmann, showing the two scenarios for this. The first is when the convection races out ahead of the surface front and then serves as a block to moisture transport in the Gulf and reduces QPF, meaning the models will over predict precipitation totals. The second scenario is that the convection stays close to the surface cold front and thus ENHANCES the low level moisture transport ahead of it, which would be downstream in the Carolinas. As of now scenario 2 seems to be playing out."

granted posted at 2:30.

[Edited on January 29, 2010 at 10:32 PM. Reason : .]

1/29/2010 10:22:33 PM

i looked out my window and determined that the forecasted amount wasn't coming

1/29/2010 10:23:31 PM

snowing gently again near Crabtree.

1/29/2010 10:39:07 PM

it is like a blizzard down here in fuquay. streets and sidewalks are covered

1/29/2010 10:40:08 PM

it's snowing once again in Cary off of Seabrook

1/29/2010 10:46:21 PM

Quote :

"As of now scenario 2 seems to be playing out."

that's what I want to hear!!

1/29/2010 10:50:50 PM

they said most of it would come after midnight...but the radar is showing a huge empty spot getting ready to roll through

1/29/2010 10:50:59 PM

12z GFS still showing same totals. im not all that worried. may be an inch or so less but there will still be plenty to play with.

1/29/2010 11:06:27 PM

Its wild. In Charlotte Huntersville has a few inches while 10-12 miles south we just have a dusting. The forecast disparity is pretty big too.

1/29/2010 11:09:07 PM

we've got 1.5 inches here in raleigh

1/29/2010 11:10:47 PM

what is scenario 2?

1/29/2010 11:11:56 PM

Apparently there's Thundersnow and lightning in Asheville and China Grove, looks like we could be in for a treat.

1/29/2010 11:21:56 PM

4-5/8" inches on my deck in lexington, and it is dumping snow out there right now!

1/29/2010 11:55:09 PM

[Edited on January 30, 2010 at 1:59 AM. Reason : ]

1/30/2010 1:56:18 AM

Just N of 40 is getting clobbered!

1/30/2010 3:57:01 AM

I've got at least two inches on a porch table here in Raleigh, right next to State.

Looking forward to what else may come.

1/30/2010 4:21:14 AM

The forecast is a fail so far, unless we're supposed to get a ton more later. The ratio is always more like 5:1 in terms of forecasted amt and actual. It looks a little like the storm is moving on quicker than expected and we'd be hard pressed to see that 8-10". I'm in RM and we've got abt 3"

I'm not a meteriologist tho

----

yeah, elizabeth said it'll be done by lunch. Fail fail fail

[Edited on January 30, 2010 at 8:25 AM. Reason : ]

1/30/2010 8:16:33 AM

~2in on the ground and nothing but sleet now

1/30/2010 8:32:20 AM

I'm in Durham, Id say we have about 5 inches of snow and it is sleeting like crazy at the moment

1/30/2010 9:08:35 AM

i put a bowl out there, but it seems to have been packed down

i'll measure it once I can find my ruler


5.5" of packed in mess... this sleet is not very fun :/

[Edited on January 30, 2010 at 9:41 AM. Reason : mvepvewve]

1/30/2010 9:37:15 AM

I'm not impressed..nowhere near what was called for...typical

1/30/2010 10:12:35 AM

guess it's time to sit around and wait for the power to go out now

1/30/2010 11:20:00 AM

I don't think the power will go out, because there's no ice on the trees or other towering structures right now.

It must have rained, or been windy at some point last night.

1/30/2010 11:54:29 AM

so whats the deal with all of the news outlets saying we'll get snow/sleet all day today, even though the radar shows that the storm is about to be past us in the next couple of hours?

are we supposed to get some more moisture after the big mass passes?

1/30/2010 12:03:03 PM

I'm trying to understand that as well. WRAL mets were saying that the large band to the south east is going to "wrap back around over the triangle." So, I guess the moisture will rotate back over us again?

1/30/2010 12:06:50 PM

Once the moisture source switches over from the Gulf to the Atlantic there could be some reformed precip.

It's never stopped sleeting here in Durham. You can start now to see some stuff reforming to the south and west.

1/30/2010 1:04:10 PM

That's about the same as in Cary. Although, it's much more snow now than sleet, which is opposite of what it's been all day.

1/30/2010 1:08:48 PM

what happened to the 10-14 inches from "the guy"? . Looks like 4.5 here.

1/30/2010 1:14:10 PM

I know it's early but the 180 hour GFS is showing snow over our area again. The forecast discussion from NWS hints at a similar system thursday night into friday

1/30/2010 1:20:39 PM

And there are a few outlets saying Tuesday and Tuesday night could have snow/freezing rain.

1/30/2010 1:24:40 PM

This is actually what's been perplexing me. KGSO 301754Z 03012KT 1 3/4SM -PL BR BKN021 OVC031 M07/M10 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP152 4/004 933030 P0001 60020 T10671100 11044 21067 56026

1/30/2010 2:09:45 PM

^Plain english, please.

1/30/2010 2:15:13 PM

yeah, what in the hell does that mean?

1/30/2010 2:21:29 PM