A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
Got me beat
Me: 7.84%
Dow: 4.35% Nasdaq: -0.24% S&P: 2.83%
(as of about 10:30) 6/5/2006 10:45:39 AM |
Scuba Steve All American 6931 Posts user info edit post |
dear Lineoleum
that KLUCQ you recommended is down 30% today
(glad I didnt buy any) 6/5/2006 1:09:54 PM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
yeah, i don't touch the pennies until i watch them for a few cycles (anywhere from a couple of weeks to a couple of quarters) and can discern some kind of pattern 6/5/2006 3:17:11 PM |
CharlesHF All American 5543 Posts user info edit post |
Markets = down today. 6/5/2006 4:10:00 PM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
Bernanke is the biggest fucking n00b. wtf uses words like "vigilant"?! 6/5/2006 4:20:27 PM |
SnakeBite All American 3156 Posts user info edit post |
ok so i posted last night about market shorts...please tell me someone made money today 6/5/2006 6:09:01 PM |
mckoonts All American 3938 Posts user info edit post |
i increased my 401(k) contribution
that should count for something 6/5/2006 6:29:39 PM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
i don't ever short 6/5/2006 7:26:40 PM |
A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
something about unlimited possible losses.... 6/5/2006 7:32:39 PM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
its more out of habit than that. plus, i wan't to get good with a handful of strategies before i move on to other types of hedges/trades. 6/5/2006 7:55:34 PM |
sNuwPack All American 6519 Posts user info edit post |
you can short without taking on unlimited risk 6/5/2006 8:11:50 PM |
A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
Explain, please 6/5/2006 9:30:28 PM |
scud All American 10804 Posts user info edit post |
stocks can become worthless but they can't realistically be worth infinite
think 1/c
good example - Delta Airlines
[Edited on June 5, 2006 at 9:43 PM. Reason : d] 6/5/2006 9:41:52 PM |
A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
True. But when you buy a stock, you know what your risk is. When you short a stock, you do not.
Of course, that's why you always have an exit strategy made up ahead of time. 6/5/2006 9:48:57 PM |
scud All American 10804 Posts user info edit post |
I disagree...the risk is the same either way and its a function of the fundamentals of what you are trading. A stock or sector that is very cyclical (read semis) can be just as predictable on the downside as the upside. To really make money you have to be good at both. Look at Berkshire Hathaway - 40% increase in profits because Buffet was able to predict a weak dollar and make the right plays.
Its just been too long since we've seen a real recession or depression that most people expect indexes to always go up. How many retirement documents have you read that naturally assumes at least 5~8% growth on S&P?
But why would a short position on gold be any different than picking up EtOH stocks forcasting increase in demand. 6/5/2006 9:56:32 PM |
A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
I'd still say that when you buy a stock you know the maximum amount that you may lose and that you don't when you short.
I'm picking up what your putting down, though--that a stock going up and a stock going down are equally 'predictable'.
I'm still wary of shorting. 6/5/2006 10:15:40 PM |
Scuba Steve All American 6931 Posts user info edit post |
for you NLST doubters, here are some technicals
http://quotes.barchart.com/texadv.asp?sym=nlst 6/6/2006 2:14:50 AM |
SnakeBite All American 3156 Posts user info edit post |
there is nothing wrong with shorts. i don't recommend to anyone or say its a great thing but why not take advantage of a market correction after a long run up. multiple high's have been broken in many aspects of the market. the scare from iran played another part in the market today along with many speculative traders in the oil industry. oh and if you didn't already mention mr. bernanke. in other words the market will rebound after it falls and thats where you sell short positions and look for the next buy opportunity
if they do it, why can't i 6/6/2006 3:06:33 AM |
Scuba Steve All American 6931 Posts user info edit post |
Iran is conspiring to to keep the price of oil high. Anytime it slides even slightly, another bullshit statement comes from Teheran to create just enough volatility in the market to have it rebound from the high 60's to the mid 70's. The price in Iran will stay dirt cheap. They just care about maintaining the elevated price worldwide to leech the wealth from non-Arabs in the export market for Iran and OPEC countries. Its possibly one of the greatest market manipulations in modern history. 6/6/2006 3:16:03 AM |
skokiaan All American 26447 Posts user info edit post |
someone give me a hot stock tip 6/6/2006 3:24:02 AM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
Bernanke needs to drink several gallons of STFU! 6/6/2006 11:02:02 AM |
Deshman007 All American 3245 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Its possibly one of the greatest market manipulations in modern history." |
I couldn't agree more6/6/2006 11:29:36 AM |
SnakeBite All American 3156 Posts user info edit post |
i have to say, i am so proud to be iranian, but i have no idea what the hell these leaders are thinking. one day i'll be able to go back without being drafted to the military. but as for the oil, i'm buying up oil and smiling when oil goes up and the more oil rises, the more pissed off people at the pump, the happier i get when i make money pumping oil....thats how i think of it
$8 a gallon, what would you do? 6/6/2006 11:45:13 AM |
sNuwPack All American 6519 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "True. But when you buy a stock, you know what your risk is. When you short a stock, you do not.
Of course, that's why you always have an exit strategy made up ahead of time." |
well I think that I could think of several examples where you took on a fixed risk at the start of a trade where your major operation was a short.
One example that comes to mind quickly is purchasing an out-of-money call in conjunction with shorting stock. Thus, once the stock that you shorted hits a certain (undesirable) level you will have the option to buy the stock back at a predetermined amount, effectively fixing your risk/share to the difference in the strike price of the call option and the price at which you first shorted the stock (plus the debit cost of purchasing the call/shares/contract).
Another example without options would be simply placing a limit order to buy the stock back at a certain value; however this seems a little flakier to me. I like options.
[Edited on June 6, 2006 at 2:54 PM. Reason : sdfasd]6/6/2006 2:53:00 PM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
you're on the right track, but assessing the risk and timing of all that is a bit complicated for most people 6/6/2006 4:24:53 PM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
Bernanke deserves a solid punch to the groin right now 6/6/2006 4:25:20 PM |
Mr. Joshua Swimfanfan 43948 Posts user info edit post |
^.
Today wasn't as bad. 6/6/2006 4:27:08 PM |
drunknloaded Suspended 147487 Posts user info edit post |
so i sold all my google stock the other day
invested it in windows ipod xp 6/6/2006 4:27:52 PM |
drunknloaded Suspended 147487 Posts user info edit post |
^^^where is clinton when you need him
[Edited on June 6, 2006 at 4:30 PM. Reason : .] 6/6/2006 4:29:50 PM |
linoleum24 All American 848 Posts user info edit post |
What do you guys think about Smith and Wesson stock?
Ticker: SWB 6/6/2006 4:53:36 PM |
Scuba Steve All American 6931 Posts user info edit post |
Its nice to invest in companies you like, but I dont really see it as a break-out year for handgun sales. If anything, they are on a steady delcline. 6/6/2006 5:06:58 PM |
Mr. Joshua Swimfanfan 43948 Posts user info edit post |
Who is the parent company for H&K or are they traded independently?
The US military plans to adopt the H&K M8 in the next few years and their prices could rise steadily. 6/6/2006 5:34:18 PM |
sNuwPack All American 6519 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "you're on the right track, but assessing the risk and timing of all that is a bit complicated for most people" |
not sure what you mean by on the right track, seems like a pretty easy way to determine risk6/6/2006 7:50:17 PM |
A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
It's not complicated in the sense of being really difficult to figure out, but execution would be somewhat more involved than typical stock trading.
Thanks for the explanation on hedging shorts. 6/7/2006 10:06:58 AM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
...not to mention if you're shorting something that may not move much, you can buy covered calls.
there's a lot of ways to play all the different scenarios, but placing all of those trades at the right time is complicated, and the transactions are not free
[Edited on June 7, 2006 at 10:43 AM. Reason : buy] 6/7/2006 10:42:40 AM |
packfootball All American 1717 Posts user info edit post |
will delta airlines stock ever bounce back? I own some of that from a while back, and just decided to hold it. 6/7/2006 7:50:09 PM |
skokiaan All American 26447 Posts user info edit post |
This was kind of a depressing week to start investing. 6/7/2006 7:56:59 PM |
A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
You've got to start sometime. This week is a fine example of why you invest for the long term and never invest money you can't afford to lose.
This was bound to happen anyways. The Dow has been on a pretty good roll since last November or so--Bernake was just an excuse for (what is hopefully) a correction. The next couple of days will be interesting since the Dow is sitting right around its 200 day moving average. 6/8/2006 9:13:11 AM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
you're supposed to buy low and sell high...not disappointing if you're just now looking to get in
these levels are decent entry points 6/8/2006 9:44:10 AM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
one would think the market would take some solace in the Zarqawi news 6/8/2006 9:44:37 AM |
BobbyDigital Thots and Prayers 41777 Posts user info edit post |
Maybe Al-Zarqawi had a big order in process and now it has to be canceled? 6/8/2006 12:18:56 PM |
A Tanzarian drip drip boom 10995 Posts user info edit post |
6/8/2006 12:24:49 PM |
SnakeBite All American 3156 Posts user info edit post |
LONG LIVE THE SHORTS....HAHA...
making money when the market plunges, gotta do it
if you don't know the market, don't short. if you don't know the market, don't buy options YOUR MONEY WILL POOF BE GONE
[Edited on June 8, 2006 at 12:50 PM. Reason : ITS TRUE] 6/8/2006 12:47:05 PM |
Mr. Joshua Swimfanfan 43948 Posts user info edit post |
I thought that Cramer hated options?
I just got an email from the Street saying that options are the way to go and that if I ever want to make money on it, I need to subscribe to his new options alerts. 6/8/2006 3:53:25 PM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
Cramer has had several shows where he teaches the basics of options 6/8/2006 4:12:32 PM |
drunknloaded Suspended 147487 Posts user info edit post |
i'll give someone my money if they invest it right and then i'll throw you a couple of bucks for the effort 6/8/2006 4:15:05 PM |
Mr. Joshua Swimfanfan 43948 Posts user info edit post |
i only caught one that was cramer going off on the liability of writing options.
i make most of my money off of them. its a fairly conservative way to invest as long as you don't go nuts selling puts. 6/8/2006 4:17:45 PM |
SnakeBite All American 3156 Posts user info edit post |
options bring the cash in. 6/9/2006 2:20:00 AM |
sNuwPack All American 6519 Posts user info edit post |
^^naked puts
[Edited on June 9, 2006 at 3:32 AM. Reason : space] 6/9/2006 3:32:07 AM |
ssjamind All American 30102 Posts user info edit post |
this can't last that much longer 6/9/2006 4:23:05 PM |