it went too far N already, SSTs are colder, it has died down alot....if it was Aug/Sept it would of been Chantal

[Edited on June 10, 2007 at 2:17 PM. Reason : w]

6/10/2007 2:16:36 PM

Yeh its nowhere near Cape Verde season...hell it just became hurricane season.

6/11/2007 9:00:49 PM

blowin up

6/15/2007 7:43:42 PM

Quote :

"An area of disturbed weather with heavy thunderstorm activity has developed along a broad trough of surface low pressure in the western Caribbean between Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba. Satellite imagery shows a steadily increasing amount of heavy thunderstorm activity, but no signs of a surface circulation. NHC canceled the Hurricane Hunter flight scheduled for this afternoon, and has not scheduled a mission for Saturday. "

6/15/2007 11:31:08 PM

what....the....fuck?

slowest season ever.

and its like we're spoiled or something. I knew it had been bad but i didn't realize 5 of the 6 most costliest and 7 of the 11 most costliest us hurricanes all came in 04-05. nothing since then.

7/25/2007 2:36:26 AM

I certainly would be nice to get a little bit of action from a tropical system. Air mass thunderstorms are fun and all but they certainly aren't making real headway toward relieving the lack of significant rainfall.

7/25/2007 3:40:01 AM

The season needs to kick it up a notch if it really wants to be very active, or even above average.

7/25/2007 5:56:57 AM

I hope we don't get a single storm this season. the people in here that look forward to them are sick in the head.

7/25/2007 8:49:25 AM

Quote :

"Forecaster cuts 2007 hurricane outlook Tue Jul 24, 2007 8:56PM EDT Email | Print | Digg | Reprints | Single Page [-] Text [+] Photo 1 of 1Full Size Related News FACTBOX: Forecasts for 2007 Atlantic hurricane season Featured Broker sponsored link Money Center Power. Price. Service. No Compromises. NEW YORK (Reuters) -The 2007 hurricane season may be less severe than forecast due to cooler-than-expected water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, private forecaster WSI Corp said on Tuesday. The season will bring 14 named storms, of which six will become hurricanes and three will become major hurricanes, WSI said in its revised outlook. WSI had previously expected 15 named storms of which eight would become hurricanes and four would become major hurricanes. "Because the ocean temperatures have not yet rebounded from the significant drop in late spring, we have decided to reduce our forecast numbers slightly," said Todd Crawford, a WSI seasonal forecaster. The energy and insurance industries are keenly watching the 2007 storm season after the record damage caused by hurricanes two years ago. During the 2005 season, hurricanes Katrina and Rita devastated parts of the U.S. Gulf Coast and temporarily knocked out a quarter of U.S. crude and fuel production, sending energy prices to then-record highs. WSI's Crawford added that wind conditions due to the lack of an El Nino event were less conducive to formation of tropical storms. Despite the downgraded forecast, WSI still expects the 2007 season to be more active than last year, and added that storm-weary parts of the Gulf Coast could still be hit. "We feel the general threat to the western Gulf is reduced slightly, with a corresponding increase in the threat to the eastern Gulf and Florida," Crawford said."

LOL, fucking global warming hacks. They feed on fear. Scare the shit out of everybody in hopes of getting them to buy those green tickets from the companies they run.

7/25/2007 9:06:21 AM

All it takes is one storm so active or inactive doesnt really matter. Look at how inactive the year Andrew hit was... and we see how that turned out.

7/25/2007 10:29:40 AM

what I'm talking about is these crack heads making predictions. They're almost always wrong. Why do we listen?

7/25/2007 10:41:24 AM

Then don't listen. Hell, even the NWS didn't listen in 1935 and we see how that turned out. I like when they blow forecasts because that sets back even further the idea that humans can and should control the weather.

7/28/2007 12:06:42 PM

now they have viable excuses for their shitty predictions... global warming.

so wouldn't the water temps be higher or is it b/c the evil oil is melting ice?

[Edited on July 28, 2007 at 8:47 PM. Reason : ]

7/28/2007 8:47:01 PM

^useless troll

7/28/2007 9:21:49 PM

^

your ^ should be a <

7/28/2007 9:24:52 PM

how is that useless.

they're blaming shitty predictions (as always) on global warming.

7/28/2007 9:25:14 PM

funny, I didn't see global warming in the article

7/28/2007 9:27:36 PM

ha ha funny

7/28/2007 9:40:59 PM

things getting a bit interesting

7/30/2007 11:29:43 PM

nice looking swirl in the south central atlantic basin.

7/31/2007 12:15:55 AM

Quote :

"The season needs to kick it up a notch if it really wants to be very active, or even above average."

Quote :

"slowest season ever."

greg fischel will tell you the opposite...just showed a visual of the number of named storms through july 31 (98-04 i believe) and 1 was the high...there have been 2 already this season

7/31/2007 2:47:24 AM

Make that 3, Chantal is now born and will live a very short life of 1 day likely lol. Basically a pointless not even worth naming storm, but storm nonetheless.

7/31/2007 9:58:32 AM

thermal lag

7/31/2007 11:04:27 AM

weather experts, what about the development east of the barbados

7/31/2007 11:17:50 AM

Chance it could become a depression later on today, august now so we will start seeing more and more waves holding together better further out. I'm at work so havent had a lot of time to see how conditions look, but like I said Id guess depression sometime later today from the little I have read.

7/31/2007 11:24:09 AM

Perhaps someone can drum up this info quicker than I can or are already privy to this knowledge but is there some change now to where they are naming tropical depressions?

7/31/2007 11:49:13 AM

nope, not naming depressions. but once a storm becomes a tropical storm and gets a name, it carries that name until it is no longer a weather system at all, through depression or a subtropical system.

7/31/2007 12:27:45 PM

and if it goes away and comes back it gets the same name again.

7/31/2007 1:02:31 PM

not necessarily true in all cases. if a storm were to die completely (not just downgrade), there would need to be significant evidence that remaining energy continued into the reformed storm. we saw this happen a couple of years ago, i believe.

7/31/2007 1:20:59 PM

no it keeps its name. Your right i forget the hurricane's name but it hit NC went out to sea was downgraded to TS then came back and hit NC as the same name and as a hurricane.

7/31/2007 1:25:44 PM

^well ts's don't lose a name anyway. I'm talking about something that makes landfall dies from a depression but the remaining system reemerges into water and becomes a storm again it gets the same name. This happened in 04 with a gulf storm i think maybe ivan but im not sure which one but it did nothing the 2nd time around.



ya it was ivan

7/31/2007 2:18:08 PM

Good find. I was racking my brain trying to remember that storm's name.

7/31/2007 2:59:46 PM

I can think of two strange examples involving downgrades and upgrades other than Ivan. Danny (I believe) dont remember what year, but it made landfall somewhere along the Gulf Coast and dissipated as it headed up this way. Surprisingly it began to reform while over NC and actually became a tropical storm again while still over land before heading back out to sea. This was the first and only time I have seen such a thing happen. Then I dont remember the name or year but there was a storm that formed in the south pacific and crossed over central american and reemerged into the Gulf. In that case the storm will change names due to Pacific and Atlantic storms having different naming schemes.

7/31/2007 3:46:11 PM

^ that nc storm you are talking about was the first on record to go over land and come back out to restrengthen back to a storm, there had been so much rain previously in that area that is was able to strengthen

ivan was #2

7/31/2007 3:56:43 PM

^^ nah, that danny or whatever storm you're talking about had become extratropical.

Quote :

"that nc storm you are talking about was the first on record to go over land and come back out to restrengthen back to a storm"

if you mean what you said then no. This happens alot. Many storms hit the east coast and get taken back out and strengthen as they accelerate into the far north atlantic.

but that second sentence makes me think you meant to say

Quote :

"that nc storm you are talking about was the first on record to go over land and come back out to restrengthen back to a storm while still over land. here had been so much rain previously in that area that is was able to strengthen"

which is complete bullshit.

7/31/2007 5:00:50 PM

Are you guys talking about Hurricane Dennis? That was the hurricane that came a little before floyd and laid the foundation for crazy flooding in eastern nc.

7/31/2007 10:11:32 PM

got a week and a half off of HS for dennis/floyd

7/31/2007 11:59:33 PM

All this prediction BS is a waste of time. They only do it so the insurance companies can have a reason to increase rates and make more money.

8/1/2007 10:18:37 AM

yea dennis was the storm that sorta hit nc twice

8/1/2007 1:09:58 PM

yay do i win a prize?

8/1/2007 11:05:42 PM

Quote :

"Are you guys talking about Hurricane Dennis? "

nobody had mentioned dennis.

8/1/2007 11:28:27 PM

im jealous

8/2/2007 11:11:06 AM

Don't give up hope. Statistically, this is the beginning of the season.

8/2/2007 8:03:49 PM

Haha. Dennis did a stutter step.

8/2/2007 8:56:50 PM

Hurricane/TS in the gulf by August 20-22. Write that down.

8/10/2007 3:23:41 PM

got his from another board, links will not work before too much longer...east coast!

Quote :

"0Z GFS 240 Hour Image: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_240l.gif 0Z CMC 240 Hour Image: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_240.gif 0Z ECMWF 240 Hour Image: http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!!chart.gif 0Z UKMET 144 Hour Image: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm/2007081100/850vort24.png All links expire in 6 to 12 hours. We have not seen agreement like that this year. It has been awhile. NOGAPS is different. It seems to dissipate the low pressure, perhaps due to another competing low exiting Africa. https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/wxmap_PUBLIC_area.cgi?area=ngp_troplant Multi model: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/tcgif/track.all.2007081100.tc_atl_ll.single.gif Although, the GFS has been all over the place in its extended forecasts, from Texas to New England to Bermuda. It has however been very consistent earlier on."

8/11/2007 6:29:55 AM

I do not lie.

and...


first.

8/11/2007 6:14:42 PM

Those are quite interesting and they are like they said quite agreeable, guess we will see how this wave progresses. Obviously forecasting 10 days out isnt an exacty science, but definitely interesting to see many models in agreement like that.

8/11/2007 7:58:25 PM

predictions?

8/11/2007 8:57:48 PM

nogaps is almost always wrong. sometimes it looks like its joking as it might have a hurricane in the gulf doing the dennis dance and hitting nyc or something wierd like that.

8/11/2007 8:59:01 PM