41-53

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5)
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5)
Clemson at Florida State (-7)

New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) - L (Missed out on this one)

Oregon (-19.5) at Cal
Tennessee (-1.5) at Miami
Dallas at NY Giants OVER 45.5

11/13/2010 1:27:16 AM

NyM410: 41-52-1

Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) LOSS

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5)
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5)
Clemson at Florida State (-7)
New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington

Maryland (-2.5) at Virginia
Boston College (-3.5) at Duke
NY Jets (-3) at Cleveland

11/13/2010 7:56:43 AM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5)
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5)
Clemson at Florida State (-7)

Oregon (-20.5) at California
Iowa (-9.5) at Northwestern

11/13/2010 11:10:18 AM

AC SLater 37-55 YTD

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5)
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5)
Clemson at [b]Florida State (-7)

New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1)

Wake Forest at North Carolina State (-18.5)
Virginia Tech -3.5 at North Carolina
Carolina at Tampa Bay -7

[Edited on November 13, 2010 at 11:35 AM. Reason : l]

11/13/2010 11:35:29 AM

AC SLater 37-55 YTD

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5)
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5)
Clemson at Florida State (-7)

New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) W

Wake Forest at North Carolina State (-18.5)
Penn State @ Ohio State -17
Carolina at Tampa Bay -7

11/13/2010 12:04:11 PM

^If his picks are better than mine i get to keep those right?

11/13/2010 12:09:44 PM

whoops, slight error on mine... meant NC State, not WF

43-49-2 Year to Date

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5)
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5)
Clemson at Florida State (-7)

New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) **THURSDAY GAME** W

Vandy at Kentucky(-14.5)
Carolina at Tampa Bay (-6.5)
WF at NC State (-19)

11/13/2010 1:08:38 PM

oops mine should have FSU bolded

11/13/2010 2:32:59 PM

Quote :

"whoops, slight error on mine... meant NC State, not WF"

Per our rules, you were too late in your correction. If you can't make it by the "edit post" allowance, it is set.

It cost me a game last week.

11/13/2010 5:27:13 PM

Haha sorry Ac, i was in a super rush today and just copied your picks and changed the ones i needed to, forgot to take off your record :p

11/13/2010 9:37:18 PM

thats gay... that should only apply if you are trying to change the line, which I wasnt, merely trying to fix a formatting error that someone pointed out to me

11/13/2010 9:48:13 PM

I really don't give a shit, just going by what I was told last week.

11/13/2010 10:00:00 PM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) W
Clemson at Florida State (-7)
Maryland (-1.5) at Virginia W
BC at Duke u50.5 W

Baltimore at Atlanta (-1)

If I was going to lose the FSU pick, I was hoping FSU would just plain lose. Alas, lose-lose for me.

52-48 going into Sunday

11/13/2010 11:39:27 PM

^Oops, should be 53-48

11/14/2010 2:04:31 AM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) WON
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) LOSS
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) WON
Clemson at Florida State (-7) WON
Oregon (-20.5) at California WON
Iowa (-9.5) at Northwestern WON

Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) WON
New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Cincinnati at Indianapolis (-7.5)

11/14/2010 11:26:20 AM

Quote :

"thats gay... that should only apply if you are trying to change the line, which I wasnt, merely trying to fix a formatting error that someone pointed out to me"

slave's rules...AC bolded both so it was obviously just a formatting error. you clearly put the tags around WF.

i'm sure plenty of people have made errors in 2 yrs worth of the contest.


also, hey now, you didnt even try to say it was a mistake, you said you wanted to change your pick.

11/14/2010 12:09:51 PM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) -L
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) - L
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) - L
Clemson at Florida State (-7) - L

Ravens at Falcons - L
Patriots at Steelers (-5)
Eagles (-3) at Redskins

Vanderbilt at Kentucky (-14.5) - W
Memphis at Marshall (-17) - L
Texans at Jaguars O49

11/14/2010 12:45:14 PM

^^
I know that, that's why I wasn't upset about not being able to change it. I used it as a comparison because Jaybee didn't even look like he had a formatting error.

11/14/2010 1:47:25 PM

like most people, I copied someone's picks from above and went in and changed the ones that were different and added my wildcards, so I simply forgot to change that one, or I probably assumed no one was stupid enough to take WF so I didnt even look. MY fault for not checking, so its fine counting it as a loss, but if that 1 game makes a difference I shall be known as "The People's Champ"

11/14/2010 2:38:45 PM

New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) - L

New England/Pittsburgh OVER 44.5
Giants/Dallas OVER 44.5

11/14/2010 4:15:55 PM

TreeTwista10 42-52 (at end of last week)

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) LOSS
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) WIN
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) LOSS
Clemson at Florida State (-7) LOSS
New England at Pittsburgh (-5) WIN
Philly (-3) at Washington
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) WIN

Bengals at Colts (-7) LOSS
Rams at 49ers (-6) WIN
Boise State (-35.5) at Idaho WIN

5-4 going into MNF

11/15/2010 12:23:10 PM

AC SLater 37-55 YTD

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) W
Clemson at Florida State (-7)

New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1)

Wake Forest at North Carolina State (-18.5)W
Virginia Tech -3.5 at North Carolina W
Carolina at Tampa Bay -7 W

5-4 so far

11/15/2010 12:51:26 PM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) WON
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) LOSS
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) WON
Clemson at Florida State (-7) WON
Oregon (-20.5) at California WON
Iowa (-9.5) at Northwestern WON
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) WON
New England at Pittsburgh (-5) LOSS
Cincinnati at Indianapolis (-7.5) WON

Philly (-3) at Washington

[Edited on November 15, 2010 at 4:30 PM. Reason : .]

11/15/2010 4:29:51 PM

Did anyone take Washington? I'd be surprised if anyone did. But it wouldn't surprise me at all to see them pull out the win tonight. +3.5 would have been a much more interesting spread.

11/15/2010 4:33:08 PM

universal agreement on a game always means one thing...

... take the other side

[Edited on November 15, 2010 at 4:37 PM. Reason : iirc the only other time this happened was Niners/Saints MNF game which the Niners covered]

11/15/2010 4:34:56 PM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) - W
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) - W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) - W
Clemson at Florida State (-7) - L

New England at Pittsburgh (-5) - W
Philly (-3) at Washington -W
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) - L

Miami(OH) (-2.5) @ Bowling Green - W
Stanford (-4.5) @ Arizona State - L
Texans @ Jaguars (-1) - L

DalCowboys 58-46 (6-4)
Wildcards

11/16/2010 7:43:31 AM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) W
Clemson at Florida State (-7)
Maryland (-1.5) at Virginia W
BC at Duke u50.5 W

Baltimore at Atlanta (-1)
New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington W
Jets (-3) at Browns W

6-4, 55-49

[Edited on November 16, 2010 at 9:50 AM. Reason : -]

11/16/2010 9:47:03 AM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) L
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) W
Clemson at Florida State (-7) L

New England at Pittsburgh (-5) L
Philly (-3) at Washington W
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) **THURSDAY GAME** W

NYJ (-3) at Cleveland W
KC (-1) at Denver L
WF at NC State (-19) L


5-5 for the week, 41-62 overall

11/16/2010 10:35:49 AM

NyM410: 49-53-1

Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) LOSS

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) WIN
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) WIN
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) LOSS
Clemson at Florida State (-7) WIN
New England at Pittsburgh (-5) WIN
Philly (-3) at Washington WIN

Maryland (-2.5) at Virginia WIN
Boston College (-3.5) at Duke WIN
NY Jets (-3) at Cleveland WIN

Ah, finally a great week.

[Edited on November 16, 2010 at 11:18 AM. Reason : add a loss]

11/16/2010 11:17:47 AM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) WON
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) LOSS
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) WON
Clemson at Florida State (-7) WON
Oregon (-20.5) at California WON
Iowa (-9.5) at Northwestern WON
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) WON
New England at Pittsburgh (-5) LOSS
Cincinnati at Indianapolis (-7.5) WON
Philly (-3) at Washington LOSS

Ribs 58-44-2 (7-3)

11/16/2010 11:23:07 AM

42-60-2 (3-7)
Oh, we back!

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) -L
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) - L
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) - L
Clemson at Florida State (-7) - L

Ravens at Falcons - L
Patriots at Steelers (-5) - L
Eagles (-3) at Redskins - W

Vanderbilt at Kentucky (-14.5) - W
Memphis at Marshall (-17) - L
Texans at Jaguars O49 - W

11/16/2010 11:53:45 AM

6-4, 47-57 over all

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) L
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) L
Clemson at Florida State (-7) L

New England at Pittsburgh (-5) L
Philly (-3) at Washington W
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) W

Wake Forest at North Carolina State (-18.5) W
Penn State @ Ohio State -17 W
Carolina at Tampa Bay -7 W

11/16/2010 12:28:35 PM

I thought about putting this in the sports betting thread, but I think most of the people that give a damn are in here anyway.

I find betting theory fascinating and I'm wondering how y'all come to pick the side of the pointspread that you do.

Are there key stats or indicators you look at to get an edge? Is it right off the hip guessing and "feel" that makes you pick certain teams? Do you have a system that takes into account a bunch of factors to produce the team that you pick?

11/16/2010 12:29:25 PM

48-56 overall

11/16/2010 12:55:29 PM

^^ I would say I'm much more of a feel person. I'll look at the basic stats and previous schedules, etc, but I don't use some statistical system to make a decision. I guess it results in my gambling being more streaky, like this season where I am sucking ass as I'm not following sports as much and don't have a good general feel for things compared to a few years ago when I made hundreds off centsports with like a 65% win rate.

11/16/2010 1:02:50 PM

These games I usually shoot from the hip

Real money bets, typically 3-5 per week, I have a few algorithms I put to work for me

I'd share them here, but I doubt you'd understand

11/16/2010 1:05:55 PM

51-53 (6-4)

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) W
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) W
Clemson at Florida State (-7) W

New England at Pittsburgh (-5) L
Philly (-3) at Washington W
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) L

ECU @ UAB (-2) W
Utah (-5.5) @ Notre Dame L
Houston @ Jacksonville (pk) L

Damn I'm horrible at NFL picks

11/16/2010 1:17:54 PM

AC SLater 37-55 YTD

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5)
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) W
Clemson at Florida State (-7)

New England at Pittsburgh (-5)
Philly (-3) at Washington W
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1)

Wake Forest at North Carolina State (-18.5)W
Virginia Tech -3.5 at North Carolina W
Carolina at Tampa Bay -7 W

6-4 this week. Updated record 43-59

11/16/2010 1:30:47 PM

7-3 Week

48-55-1 Season

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) W
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) W
Clemson at Florida State (-7) L
Boise State (-35.5) at Idaho L

New England at Pittsburgh (-5) W
Philly (-3) at Washington W
Baltimore at Atlanta (-1) - L
New England/Pittsburgh OVER 44.5 W
Giants/Dallas OVER 44.5 W

11/16/2010 1:40:42 PM

Quote :

"These games I usually shoot from the hip Real money bets, typically 3-5 per week, I have a few algorithms I put to work for me I'd share them here, but I doubt you'd understand "

same here... I look at rushing and passing yardage / yardage allowed a lot in college.

In pros, things such as back to back road games, traveling cross country, etc. have a huge impact

11/16/2010 1:41:12 PM

This past week, here are a few things I considered:

- I know better than to pick against Bill Belichik after a bad loss
- Idaho sucked ass, I figured Boise would have to beat them bad
- I thought the 49ers -6 was an absurd line

of course I only went 6-4 last week, so wtf do I know

11/16/2010 1:49:58 PM

^^^ Mizz didn't cover

38-28

[Edited on November 16, 2010 at 1:55 PM. Reason : score]

11/16/2010 1:53:01 PM

The only consistent method I've been using is that for 3 weeks in a row I've taken the under for any game BC is playing in and been right.

11/16/2010 2:13:24 PM

Double posting to keep my predictions separated.

Georgia Tech at Duke u61
NC State at UNC (-2.5)
Falcons (-3) at Rams

11/16/2010 2:21:21 PM

Kansas State at Missouri (-12.5) W
Georgia at Auburn (-8.5) W
South Carolina at Florida (-6.5) L
Clemson at Florida State (-7) W

New England at Pittsburgh (-5) W
Philly (-3) at Washington L
Ravens @ Falcons (-1) W

ECU (-2) @ UAB W
Minnesota (-1) @ Chicago L
St Louis @ San Fran (-6) W

rwoody 52-43-3 (7-3)

11/16/2010 9:02:27 PM

Nevermind

[Edited on November 16, 2010 at 10:41 PM. Reason : .]

11/16/2010 10:29:10 PM

Nebraska (-2.5) at Texas A&M
Ohio State (-3) at Iowa
Stanford (-7) at Cal
Virginia Tech (-2.5) at Miami

Indy at New England (-3.5)
Denver at San Diego (-10)
NY Giants at Philly (-3)

hey now requested the State/Carolina game this week, but I don't want to pick against State and I'm not confident people could remain objective on that game. If you would rather substitute the State game in for VT/Miami post and say it.

ps: I don't care what other games you would change, add, or drop so don't bother.

[Edited on November 17, 2010 at 4:45 PM. Reason : .]

11/17/2010 4:37:08 PM

Keep it as is. I've been so awful on my wild cards, I'll take UNC at -2.5 as one for the reverse jinx. (Fuckers better not win by 1 or 2.)

11/17/2010 4:56:21 PM

Nebraska (-2.5) at Texas A&M
Ohio State (-3) at Iowa
Stanford (-7) at Cal
Virginia Tech (-2.5) at Miami

Indy at New England (-3.5)
Denver at San Diego (-10)
NY Giants at Philly (-3)

NCSU at Cocksuckers (-2.5)
Arkansas (-3) at Miss State
Atlanta(-3) at St. Louis

11/17/2010 5:03:09 PM

TreeTwista10 48-56

Nebraska (-2.5) at Texas A&M
Ohio State (-3) at Iowa
Stanford (-7) at Cal
Virginia Tech (-2.5) at Miami
Indy at New England (-3.5)
Denver at San Diego (-10)
NY Giants at Philly (-3)


NCSU at Fags (-2.5)
Bears at Dolphins (-1)
Ravens (-10) at Panthers

11/17/2010 5:13:44 PM