all of her interviews this past week have been the most normal, non-controversial interviews possible, and the freaks on the right are just inventing things to get angry about

10/12/2024 1:09:59 PM

That transgender inmates commercial is chopped and cut. I would like to hear what was originally said.

10/13/2024 11:05:45 AM

^^
Harris’ answer to everything is basically “this is a complicated issue with a lot of nuance” and Shes not wrong, but voters don’t want to hear that

I like that she uses the term opportunity economy but I think she could increase her gap by being more aspirational about what this means

10/13/2024 9:24:27 PM

I don't get it. Pay attention to this guy -- what he does and what he says. Why do people even tolerate him, much less like and vote for him? These trends are objectively stupid.

10/14/2024 2:18:03 AM

I was just thinking yesterday she should do what he did as far as ads go, most of his ads have snippets of her talking and seem quite effective. She should put out some ads of snippets of things he's said.

10/14/2024 8:15:37 AM

Taking the high road and the rational and / or empathetic approach certainly doesn't seem to get it done.

10/14/2024 9:36:42 AM

Her team has been doing that on social media, not sure about tv

10/14/2024 10:18:17 AM

https://www.threads.net/@acynig/post/DBFBUTEtuhs?xmt=AQGz2FNXUP6apOE-5AmXCPKQfNFC7nRwPX-HpVFO4Nok8g

She started Copying Obamas speaking style and mannerisms

10/14/2024 3:21:10 PM

Quote :

""To sway the audience's emotions is victory, for, among all things, it is the single most important in winning verdicts. Nothing else is more important than emotion.""

Cicero

10/15/2024 9:45:43 PM

another bad set of swing state polls today for kamala

wonder if trump's bizarre 40 minute music session will shift anything...

10/16/2024 12:04:50 AM

I doubt it will sway polls in any way. I hope that something he says or does before election day catches on with regular media in a way that meaningfully hurts his chances

10/16/2024 12:39:32 AM

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

Rcp has trump winning all the swing states now

10/17/2024 9:06:16 PM

But why?

10/17/2024 9:11:29 PM

My understanding is that right-leaning pollsters have flooded the zone with crap polls to skew the averages ahead of election day.

I know that Rasmussen and Trafalgar Group are right-leaning, and I believe that InsiderAdvantage may have a rightward tilt, as well.

[Edited on October 17, 2024 at 9:32 PM. Reason : ]

10/17/2024 9:27:44 PM

^
That seems likely. RCP is owned by a right winger and they include obviously bogus polls other sites disregard

But they’ve also tended to be fairly accurate in the past overall with their crude averaging method

10/17/2024 9:34:02 PM

^^feels like an optimistic view

Here is nate silvers take:

Quote :

"Last update: 12:30 p.m., Thursday, October 17. The Electoral College race remains as close to 50/50 as it gets. But with some good polls for Trump entering our database today, like a 2-point lead in a high-quality national poll and a big leadn Georgia (though he trails in North Carolina in the same Quinnipiac poll), if you squint at the probabilities, you’ll see Trump 50.2%, Harris 49.5%. (There’s an 0.3% chance of a 269-269 tie). That’s not much different from yesterday’s forecast of Harris 50.3%, Trump 49.4%. But however nominal, it’s Trump’s first lead in our model since Sept. 19. There’s a good chance that the lead will continue to shift back and forth, akin to a 110-109 basketball game late in the fourth quarter."

[Edited on October 17, 2024 at 10:03 PM. Reason : E]

10/17/2024 10:00:29 PM