Opening Round: Thursday, March 12
1 #8 Virginia Tech vs. #9 Miami Noon RAYCOM
2 #5 Clemson vs. #12 Georgia Tech 2:20 p.m. RAYCOM
3 #7 Maryland vs. #10 NC State 7 p.m. ESPN2
4 #6 Boston College vs. #11 Virginia 9:20 p.m. RAYCOM

Quarterfinals: Friday, March 13
5 #1 North Carolina vs. Winner Game 1 Noon RAYCOM/ESPN2
6 #4 Florida State vs. Winner Game 2 2:20 p.m. RAYCOM/ESPN2
7 #2 Wake Forest vs. Winner Game 3 7 p.m. RAYCOM/ESPN2
8 #3 Duke vs. Winner Game 4 9:20 p.m. RAYCOM/ESPN2

Semifinals: Saturday, March 14
9 ACC Semifinal 1 1:30 p.m. RAYCOM/ESPN
10 ACC Semifinal 2 3:50 p.m. RAYCOM/ESPN

Championship: Sunday, March 15
11 ACC Championship Game 1 p.m. RAYCOM/ESPN

3/9/2009 3:50:26 PM

I will be there at 7pm on Thursday... might try to go to earlier games as well.

3/9/2009 4:05:47 PM

we're either going to go all the way or get knocked out in the first round

no in-between

3/9/2009 6:30:42 PM

First time in several years that I can't make it....

3/9/2009 7:05:43 PM

i'm gonna try to go next year, i can't make it this year either.

i think state surprises maryland and goes down to the wire against wake. I hope this team comes to play, but you never know with this squad.

3/9/2009 7:21:02 PM

maryland, then wake, then duke/boston college/uva... we could potentially go a few rounds. we could also lose on thursday.

but i think we have a pretty decent draw.

3/9/2009 7:34:44 PM

I am the only real fan here

3/9/2009 7:36:08 PM

^LIES

[Edited on March 9, 2009 at 8:20 PM. Reason : ]

3/9/2009 8:20:34 PM

I will be at the game... will you? distance is NOT a factor for my fandom

3/9/2009 8:26:44 PM

Nor mine, I drove to Tampa two years ago fool Work, however, is a factor this year, unfortunately.

3/9/2009 8:28:55 PM

I am going all the way to the Georgia Dome!

3/9/2009 8:38:58 PM

A first round exit is a blessing in disguise.

We can end the misery and start looking forward to football.

3/9/2009 8:43:11 PM

I calculated tournament probabilities by applying Bill James' log5 formula (http://www.diamond-mind.com/articles/playoff2002.htm) to Ken Pomeroy's pythagorean winning percentages (http://www.kenpom.com/stats.php?y=2009&s=19):

SEED  TEAM            QUARTERS   SEMIS  FINALS  CHAMPION
   1  North Carolina   100.00%  84.18%  64.87%    42.46%
   3  Duke             100.00%  87.24%  58.80%    30.31%
   2  Wake Forest      100.00%  77.96%  33.50%    13.46%
   5  Clemson           85.37%  56.04%  19.16%     8.36%
   4  Florida St.      100.00%  40.33%   9.02%     2.67%
   9  Miami             67.64%  12.61%   5.63%     1.79%
   6  Boston College    64.48%   9.61%   2.75%     0.49%
   7  Maryland          54.15%  12.63%   2.58%     0.47%
  10  NC State          45.84%   9.38%   1.70%     0.27%
   8  Virginia Tech     32.35%   3.19%   0.90%     0.17%
  12  Georgia Tech      14.62%   3.60%   1.23%     0.13%
  11  Virginia          35.54%   3.12%   0.58%     0.07%

3/9/2009 9:38:08 PM

fuck that ernie its gonna be 83 all over again

Quote :

"TEN STRAIGHT WINS"

3/9/2009 9:41:23 PM

so you're saying we have a chance?

Quote :

".27"

[Edited on March 9, 2009 at 9:43 PM. Reason : .]

3/9/2009 9:42:05 PM

It would be more appropriate to use only conference games (Pomeroy's numbers are for all games), but fuck that I'm not doing it

[Edited on March 9, 2009 at 9:44 PM. Reason : ]

3/9/2009 9:42:30 PM

do you have them from two years ago? it'd be fun to see what percentages we broke getting into that championship game.

3/9/2009 10:06:57 PM

I was just thinking the same thing

Hold up

3/9/2009 10:08:12 PM

Good news! We were even more fucked in 07

2007

SEED  TEAM            QUARTERS   SEMIS  FINALS  CHAMPION
   1  North Carolina   100.00%  86.01%  66.09%    50.84%
   7  Duke              90.05%  69.50%  45.51%    17.92%
   5  Maryland          92.42%  68.52%  23.63%    13.71%
   6  Georgia Tech      88.69%  56.15%  27.88%     8.78%
   3  Virginia Tech    100.00%  41.91%  15.71%     3.46%
   2  Virginia         100.00%  27.88%  10.25%     1.87%
   4  Boston College   100.00%  30.10%   5.13%     1.76%
   8  Clemson           54.50%   8.23%   3.22%     1.21%
   9  Florida St.       45.59%   5.81%   2.01%     0.76%
  10  NC State          10.03%   2.79%   0.59%     0.07%
  11  Wake Forest       11.42%   2.12%   0.36%     0.04%
  12  Miami              7.68%   1.58%   0.11%     0.01%

3/9/2009 10:16:10 PM

so we'll do about 4x as well, and only lose by 2 points?

3/9/2009 10:18:54 PM

^^Interesting to see the numbers, but I have a hard time believing Duke had the second-best chance to win that year. They were 8-8 in the regular season.

3/9/2009 10:41:29 PM

They had one of the most efficient defenses in the country

Henderson was hurt at the end of the year

They lost four ACC games by a total of twelve points

Pythagorean winning percentage (and pretty much any predictive or evaluative metric) has nothing to do with your win-loss total.

[Edited on March 9, 2009 at 10:47 PM. Reason : ]

3/9/2009 10:45:33 PM

go pack!!

3/10/2009 4:06:11 PM

What?

3/10/2009 4:07:43 PM

nice edit

3/10/2009 4:10:46 PM

Well, there you go, all that makes sense...the 8-8 being the only thing I remembered off the top of my head about them, of course.

[Edited on March 10, 2009 at 7:39 PM. Reason : ]

3/10/2009 7:36:57 PM

shouldnt the 100% probabilities be 99:1 or something? Maybe I'm having a statistics brain fart but.

3/10/2009 7:39:14 PM

The 100%'ers are the top four seeds, teams that are already in the quarterfinals.

3/10/2009 7:44:46 PM

oh shit, so i wasnt having a statistics brainfart, i was having a retarded brainfart of not even thinking of the top 4 teams getting 1st round byes

3/10/2009 7:45:27 PM

some pretty cheap tickets available down here, and they only get cheaper after day 1

3/11/2009 1:48:40 AM

Go Pack...ya'll better bring it come Thursday at 7pm. Can we for once all season blow a decent opponent away 80 to 50??


GO PACK!!

3/11/2009 11:19:08 AM

Quote :

"^^Interesting to see the numbers, but I have a hard time believing Duke had the second-best chance to win that year. They were 8-8 in the regular season."

They prob add UNC and Duke cheating into the formula, since vegas wants them in the finals

3/11/2009 11:24:43 AM

the person that posts a video feed will be my hero

3/11/2009 11:46:50 AM

http://www.justin.tv/frankcal20

password: wolfpack


this guy should do a feed for our game

he has done most of the games this year

3/11/2009 11:52:26 AM

^ hero.


fuck...it's filter blocked at work

[Edited on March 11, 2009 at 12:01 PM. Reason : .]

3/11/2009 12:00:50 PM

Quote :

"They prob add UNC and Duke cheating into the formula, since vegas wants them in the finals"

Those numbers were from me, not Vegas.

3/11/2009 12:08:29 PM

.

[Edited on March 11, 2009 at 12:30 PM. Reason : i can read]

3/11/2009 12:30:35 PM

^^^sorry mang


can you get espn360 at work?

3/11/2009 2:09:46 PM

i think i can get espn360, but i forget how to login as a guest or something. itsnot offered in Greensboro through timewarner, but i recall there is still a way to login and use it. anyone know?

3/11/2009 2:34:26 PM

LOL there are still 10k tickets available to the tourney - 9 of the 12 ACC teams weren't able to sell their allotment. they've barely broken 26k total sales (which is more than they can sell in charlotte or greensboro)...in 2001 the tourney at the dome sold 40k+

I live in atlanta and you couldn't pay me to go sit in the upper deck of the dome to watch these games

3/11/2009 6:48:58 PM

UNC dropout / guy I knew in high school on Facebook:

Quote :

"They only have 1 legitimate national championship in 1983. The 1974 championship came on the heels of an undefeated season in 1973 in which they were barred from the tournament due to recruiting violations (tournament which UCLA won). However, those same illegally recruited recruits, namely David Thompson, were on the 1974 team as well."

Do what

3/11/2009 7:08:19 PM

haha if i saw that on mine, they would instantly be de-friended

3/11/2009 7:19:01 PM

Quote :

"UNC dropout"

/care

3/11/2009 7:21:36 PM

Quote :

"UNC"

/care

3/11/2009 7:25:27 PM

http://www.wralsportsfan.com/colleges/blogpost/4714541/

Uh oh shit just got real.

Quote :

"Vasquez sounded off on Javi Gonzalez' claim that he wanted to punch him in the face after the Maryland guard hit a meaningless three at the end of the teams' contest at the RBC Center recently, telling him to bring it on during their first round matchup Thursday night. "It was just me being me. He's a Spanish man, he knows he can't mess with a Spanish man. Back in my neighborhood I have people that support me too, so it wouldn't be that easy," Vasquez joked. "Tell him to bring it on.""

Vasquez should ask Greg Paulus what happens when you piss off Javi. You get an elbow brought through your face and a black eye to show for it.

3/11/2009 8:25:10 PM

That was posted earlier

3/11/2009 8:54:09 PM

if we don't win, and javi doesn't punch him in the face, i will be upset. either one works though

3/11/2009 8:54:28 PM

So is it safe to assume that Game 10 is the winner of Game 7 and Game 8?

3/11/2009 8:58:06 PM

Yeah, of course

3/11/2009 8:59:04 PM

they should have started this today. played the first round today and tomorrow, then a day off, then finish on sat and sun. so we can be better rested for our 4 games in 5 days.

3/11/2009 9:43:49 PM