Førte All American 23525 Posts user info edit post |
$4 10/8/2011 12:56:36 PM |
taboo2k All American 705 Posts user info edit post |
^^ i do 10/8/2011 3:40:03 PM |
PimpinHonda All American 4331 Posts user info edit post |
What are the thoughts on tonights game?
Last I checked it was Lions -7 with the O/U at 48... 10/10/2011 1:20:26 PM |
Ribs All American 10713 Posts user info edit post |
Bears could win this SU but they'll cover. This is probably a field goal game.
I tend to fade the national media dickriding team in nationally televised games like this though fwiw. 10/10/2011 3:57:48 PM |
Slave Famous Become Wrath 34079 Posts user info edit post |
LIONS AND THE OVER LET IT RIDE $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 10/10/2011 3:59:09 PM |
dweedle All American 77386 Posts user info edit post |
http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-triangle/post/_/id/6240/when-it-comes-the-point-spread-sometimes-numbers-do-lie 10/12/2011 4:13:56 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
someone convince me not to take out a second mortgage to take Clemson -4 vs. GT big 10/24/2011 9:00:51 PM |
rwoody Save TWW 37695 Posts user info edit post |
a two team teaser would be put me + for the year or leave me 3 units under
first team covered, 2nd is ravens -2
wtf 10/24/2011 11:58:42 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
teasers and parleys are sucker bets... something fun to do for minimal money on the side, but make you bread and butter just straight up bets and you will be much happier in the long run 10/25/2011 12:00:10 AM |
rwoody Save TWW 37695 Posts user info edit post |
i'm aware all of my action is for fun.
but still.
[Edited on October 25, 2011 at 12:11 AM. Reason : by tonight, it was just ravens -2, which anyone would have taken] 10/25/2011 12:10:40 AM |
packboozie All American 17452 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "someone convince me not to take out a second mortgage to take Clemson -4 vs. GT big" |
They got it in the bag.
Saturday I've got NCSU +18, Wake +7, SCar -4, and Navy +20.
[Edited on October 27, 2011 at 2:05 PM. Reason : GT offense figured out too late for NCSU ]10/27/2011 2:04:12 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
Why dont you have Clemson -4 then? hahah
and I totally agree they should, but I just have a really bad feeling. You know how so many undefeated teams lose when they arent expected to and it clears up the BCS picture for the others teams? This feels like that... Texas Tech +29 but beats Oklahoma. Clemson -4...? 10/27/2011 3:04:48 PM |
face All American 8503 Posts user info edit post |
teasers are suckers bets typically, but parlays pay true odds. 10/27/2011 9:37:04 PM |
packboozie All American 17452 Posts user info edit post |
Not a good day for me damn where did Wake go today?
Got Clemson -4 and SCar -4 hopefully to save face. 10/29/2011 7:24:49 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
I hit UGA -3 big, but lost fucking Iowa.
Have Clemson HUGE and South Carolina for a tiny bit 10/29/2011 7:26:47 PM |
Turnip All American 5426 Posts user info edit post |
Wacky last 5 minutes and OT for WKU +6 and +200, if anyone else bet on this game.
http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/football/boxscore?gid=201110290103
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^^^Assuming by "true odds" you mean standard juice, then it depends on the parlay. Standard juice is -110 for individual tickets and +260 for two-team parlays.
If you risked $110 on a two-team parlay, you'd end up with $110 + ($110 * 2.6) = $396
But if you let $110 ride on two individual tickets and won both, you'd end up with $401:
first bet: $110 to win $100 second bet: $210 to win $191 $210 + $191 = $401
So by playing a two-team parlay you're leaving money on the table. Of course, two-team parlays still serve a purpose when the two games are being played at the same time.
However:
Three-team parlays are usually +600.
If you risk $110 on a three-team parlay and it wins, you end up with $110 + $660 = $770
And if you let $110 ride on three individual tickets and won all three, you'd end up with only $765:
first bet: $110 to win $100 second bet: $210 to win $191 third bet: $401 to win $364 $401 + $364 = $765
So you actually make $5 more with the three-team parlay. The three-team parlays have slightly less-than-standard juice, but two-team parlays have higher juice.*
I'm definitely not suggesting you should stop playing straight tickets and only bet three-team parlays though, because it forces you to bet more conservatively, which slows your growth. (I can show my work on this too, if someone doesn't believe it).
*parlays of more than 3 teams also have higher juice, you can do that work yourself.
[Edited on October 29, 2011 at 8:00 PM. Reason : parlays and teasers can be more fun/exciting though]10/29/2011 7:56:20 PM |
taboo2k All American 705 Posts user info edit post |
I took tOSU to win only. Because I went to the game also got lucky with UGA yesterday at -3 hopefully I will have a good day today too saints should be able to win by two touchdowns 10/30/2011 10:12:59 AM |
face All American 8503 Posts user info edit post |
^^ Can't argue with that. I thought I'd seen the two teamer worked out to exact odds before but I guess not. Anyway, they are relatively close to "true" odds so not quite the suckers bet that many people think they are. The three teamer like you pointed out is actually a bit better than true odds.
Whew I had GT +3.5 last night that was one of those "there's no fucking way GT is going to cover this spread so I guess I have to bet on it because Vegas isn't stupid." 10/30/2011 11:56:07 AM |
hey now Indianapolis Jones 14975 Posts user info edit post |
Clemson at only -8.5 is free money. 11/14/2011 11:30:06 AM |
face All American 8503 Posts user info edit post |
PLEASE HAMMER DON'T HURT 'EM!!!
Nov 28 08:35 PM NY GIANTS @ NO SAINTS TOTAL POINTS SCORED 71-77 TOTAL POINTS +2000 100 / 2000 2,000 WIN
[Edited on November 29, 2011 at 12:30 AM. Reason : a] 11/29/2011 12:26:57 AM |
rwoody Save TWW 37695 Posts user info edit post |
so w/ 1 betting unit at 13/5 for wisconsin to win the big 10, whats the best hedge? Just take michigan state w/ the pts? 12/3/2011 9:22:18 AM |
rwoody Save TWW 37695 Posts user info edit post |
awesome 12/3/2011 11:57:54 PM |