Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
Me: you both really like ND that much? They have been horrible on the road lately... just getting killed. Is there something I dont know? Doubter: Yeah. The suckitude of the Johnnies.
Notre Dame 68 St. John's 71
ahhhh, so content. Sometimes I think I might get tired of being right all the time...but I dont
[Edited on January 23, 2007 at 10:17 PM. Reason : d] 1/23/2007 10:14:38 PM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
damn, hope not many of yall took 'Bama tonight. 1/23/2007 10:55:51 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
I was going to, but talked myself out of it 1/23/2007 10:58:57 PM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
if carolina's not favored by 25 tomorrow night over wake then something is wrong. 1/23/2007 11:32:17 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
its 16 1/23/2007 11:33:31 PM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
16? where do you see that already? ill definitely take carolina -16 against Wake Forest 1/23/2007 11:34:02 PM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
wake is 6 of 8 or 7 of 8 against unc in the last 8 games 1/24/2007 8:42:46 AM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
wake is horrible this year, but maybe they pull the upset.... i just highly doubt it 1/24/2007 9:35:16 AM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
i agree with wake sucking but just figured i let u know why the line is lower 1/24/2007 9:49:19 AM |
sNuwPack All American 6519 Posts user info edit post |
well i guess i found out why ill was favored, what are people on today? 1/24/2007 3:16:29 PM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
unc -16 Florida -5.5 NCState +2 TexasA&M -3 Texas -1.5 Northwestern +10.5??? Kentucky +2 1/24/2007 3:33:04 PM |
Turnip All American 5426 Posts user info edit post |
Nebraska +1.5 and GT +3 for me 1/24/2007 4:51:12 PM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
Got a nice little 4team parlay tonight, all moneyline paying +188
Bradley LSU Florida Pitt 1/24/2007 5:20:30 PM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
Bobcats +7
Knicks +9
Blazers +2.5
Celtics -4 1/24/2007 6:29:09 PM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
TEX -2 UNC/WF U 157 FLA -5 1/2 SO MISS -9 1/2 GTOWN ML 1/24/2007 6:29:53 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
IDAHO +20! 1/24/2007 6:32:11 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
i told ya idaho +20... bank my roll X2 1/25/2007 12:27:51 AM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
You are an idiot if you put your entire bankroll on Idaho +20. Thats the shit you did and hit, but not a smart move. 1/25/2007 12:47:58 AM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
btw, LSU fucked me, 19 home SEC win streak and they lose. I was kinda hesitant on that since Vandy had beat 4 ranked teams this year, but oh well. 2-2 on my NBA and would have been 3-1 if the fucking Bobcats didn't blow it when they were up 20pts at one point with the spread and then they piss it away to lose by 11......4 with the spread. 1/25/2007 12:54:05 AM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
got gtown, so. miss and the unc-wake under.
also hit on VCU against George Mason.
Note to tww: Bet against ECU and the Bobcats and you will win. 1/25/2007 1:31:24 AM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
haha bet against ncsu too they seem to win me money a lot i dunno why i went with them yesterday other than a friend told me i should good thing i didnt put much on them 1/25/2007 8:57:38 AM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
Mavs -5 @ CHI Duke -6 1/2 vs Clemson Serena Williams +170 vs Sharipova
Thoughts
[Edited on January 25, 2007 at 12:39 PM. Reason : 12] 1/25/2007 12:39:13 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
I can't decide on the Duke/Clemson game...
Butler -2.5 vs Loyola Chicago .. that looks quite enticing. 1/25/2007 1:51:00 PM |
Turnip All American 5426 Posts user info edit post |
I'm on Clemson and Loyola 1/25/2007 3:39:18 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
http://www.usajaguars.com/SportSelect.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=8300&&SPID=3258&SPSID=38470
Glad I took UL Monroe +10
South Alabama suspends 3 of their leading scorers right before the game! UL up by 8 in the 1st half, we'll see how this plays out
1/25/2007 8:35:15 PM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
Under 193.5 Mavs/Bulls
Nets +7
Clemson +7
Western Kentucky -1
Posted thema little late, but oh well.
[Edited on January 25, 2007 at 8:40 PM. Reason : .] 1/25/2007 8:37:41 PM |
Turnip All American 5426 Posts user info edit post |
^^I went to take Monroe +450 moneyline and I ALMOST made it, but before I could submit the line dropped to +270. I was so pissed I didn't put anything on it lol
[Edited on January 25, 2007 at 8:39 PM. Reason : ^^] 1/25/2007 8:39:02 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
yeah I actually read on another sports betting forum earlier this afternoon that S. Alabama was to suspend three players before the game, but I figured UL Monroe +10 wasn't a bad bet even if they didn't suspend them. 1/25/2007 8:50:49 PM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
What forum do you use? 1/25/2007 9:03:23 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
hell yeah! Duke/Clemson on the over ... I was about to punch myself in the face ..
^ http://www.ultimatecapper.com/forum/index.php
Use at your own discretion, some of those people are morons.
Here is the actual thread with "inside info"
http://www.ultimatecapper.com/forum/showthread.php?s=f98597f088e0861729da0a9362582929&threadid=147472
[Edited on January 25, 2007 at 9:12 PM. Reason : safd] 1/25/2007 9:11:20 PM |
Quinn All American 16417 Posts user info edit post |
4 Team Parlay #65317294 Basketball - College Lines (Game) Pointspread (707) Wisconsin-Milwaukee +7½ (-115) Thu@7:00p Competitor: (708) Detroit
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Pointspread (710) St Louis -5 Thu@8:00p Competitor: (709) NC Charlotte
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Pointspread (713) Butler -3 (-105) Thu@8:00p Competitor: (714) Loyola Chicago
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Pointspread (725) UCLA -6 Thu@9:00p Competitor: (726) California
hell of a payoff here 1/25/2007 10:18:47 PM |
Quinn All American 16417 Posts user info edit post |
we have a winner ! 1/25/2007 11:12:40 PM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
^^Lies, to bad you posted it this late. 1/26/2007 12:48:33 AM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
Hit on the Nets, lost on the Mavs. Pushed on a game of video bowling. 1/26/2007 3:40:21 AM |
Quinn All American 16417 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "^^Lies, to bad you posted it this late." |
I have no reason to lie to you, nor the time and patience to type all that shit out in perfect format.
and note the delay on the winning posting (right after the ucla ended)
[Edited on January 26, 2007 at 8:13 AM. Reason : .]1/26/2007 7:56:17 AM |
rallydurham Suspended 11317 Posts user info edit post |
Alright my Super Bowl play is here. I like the Bears moneyline.
1) I think the Bears will be able to run very well against the Colts.
2) I think the Bears will force turnovers against the Colts.
3) I think the Colts will move the ball in between the 20's alright but will be inefficient around the red zone and will settle for FG's.
4) Vinitieri has a short leg on kickoffs which really plays into the Devin Hester threat. I expect Indy to squib kick a lot which will give the Bears great field position following each of Indy's 4-5 field goals.
5) The Bears have a lot less pressure on them and should play pretty carefree.
6) Injury factor. Utecht hurt his knee, Sanders got banged up, and Peyton's thumb may be worse than they are letting on. He threw quite a few ducks in the final two series against New England. Ducks are not going to cut it against the Bears Defense.
Take the Bears moneyline +220.
I would avoid the Bears +6.5. I think if its close Chicago will win this game. There is a decent chance that Grossman spontaneously combusts under the pressure and the Bears lose 38-6.
If you're hell bent on taking Indy I would recommend taking them -6.5 or even -7 rather than laying -250 on the moneyline.
I have no feeling on the over/under..... I'm thinking this is a 27-23 Bears victory and could see the 48.5 o/u going either way. 1/26/2007 11:26:47 AM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
Got a good parlay for tonight
Spurs-12 Twolves+2 1/26/2007 5:29:09 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
^^ so basically what you are saying here is that you have no idea what is going to happen
I do like reading your insights though 1/26/2007 5:45:05 PM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
Portland State 1/26/2007 5:49:36 PM |
rallydurham Suspended 11317 Posts user info edit post |
^^ What I am saying is that i think the Bears have better than a 30% chance of winning this game.
If you take the moneyline you only need them to win more than ~30% of the time for this bet to be profitable.
Obviously, you are more likely to win by taking Bears +6.5 or Indy -6.5. However, you'd need to win more than 52.38% of the time in order for these to be good value plays.
Personally, I'd probably take the Bears +6.5 if I had to play the spread. However, I believe the most value lies in the Bears moneyline.
My reasoning is that if Grossman plays adequately (which he's done ~75% of the time this season) that the Bears have a very good chance to win the game outright. However, if Grossman lays an egg (which he's done ~25% of the time this season) then 6.5 points isn't going to save your ass.
I would not touch the Indy moneyline under any circumstance. -250 is way too expensive. Indy is weak against the run and their passing game will be anything but automatic against the Bears defense. Also Indy is relatively unfamiliar with the Chicago Bears.
I think the game most likely plays out as an Indy rout or a Bears victory. If you're a Grossman hater or just hellbent on betting the Colts Id lay the -6.5. (***I don't recommend this, i just feel its the lesser evil***)
Regarding the over/under 48.5 is a lot of points. However, these two teams are #2 and #3 in scoring this season. The Bears score a lot of points because of their opportunistic defense. The Colts score a lot of points because of their high powered passing game. The Colts allow a lot of points because of their porous run defense.
My lean would be to the over, but I don't feel strongly about it or feel like its a must play by any means.
[Edited on January 26, 2007 at 6:25 PM. Reason : a] 1/26/2007 6:19:47 PM |
Quinn All American 16417 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | " so basically what you are saying here is that you have no idea what is going to happen" |
1/26/2007 7:59:34 PM |
Turnip All American 5426 Posts user info edit post |
no, basically what he is saying is take the Bears moneyline because it has value 1/26/2007 8:41:01 PM |
ncsucharlie Suspended 4074 Posts user info edit post |
rally you have covered your ass 2 of the 3 outcomes .. covered it on the colts blow out, covered it on a close bears victory... only way you stand to look ridiculous is if the colts win by a touchdown or less.
good spittin'
1/26/2007 9:36:14 PM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
serena 1/26/2007 10:18:48 PM |
rallydurham Suspended 11317 Posts user info edit post |
What the fuck are you guys talking about?
I said I like the BEARS MONEYLINE. Thats the bet I am taking.
I said Id rather have the Bears +7 than the Colts -7 but that due to the fact the Bears may get blown out I would rather have the BEARS MONEYLINE.
How many fucking ways can I express that i like the BEARS MONEYLINE.
I dont have to worry about covering my ass I have a documented 8-1 record here in my last nine picks.
You dont have to be that gambling savvy to realize i said i like the BEARS MONEYLINE
I explained my reasoning for suggesting that pick. I demonstrated why I believed it had the most value. I dont know how you got that confused. 1/26/2007 11:07:34 PM |
jmpack15 All American 4470 Posts user info edit post |
damn... Portland State got beat 97-93. What are yall looking forward too for Saturday? I work 8am-5 so I probably won't play anything until tomorrow night so I can watch it.
nightly recap: hit on serena, lost on portland state.
[Edited on January 27, 2007 at 12:22 AM. Reason : 12] 1/27/2007 12:20:50 AM |
Quinn All American 16417 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "What the fuck are you guys talking about?" |
We are just pointing out that you flip flop'd all 4 teams a week ago. You can at least admit that is true correct?1/27/2007 1:38:58 AM |
rallydurham Suspended 11317 Posts user info edit post |
yes right after the games i wasnt looking at it clearly and thought the pats/saints would be good bets...
After having sometime to let my emotions settle i realized the Bears and Colts were clearly the best two teams, had homefield advantage, and matched up well against their opponents.
8-1 past nine picks on here anyway you slice it. And since nearly EVERYONE was on the saints over bears and chargers over pats i dont wanna hear how easy those picks were... 1/27/2007 1:44:38 AM |
TheOffice Suspended 2343 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Got a good parlay for tonight
Spurs-12 Twolves+2" |
$$$$$ 1/27/2007 4:12:48 AM |
Turnip All American 5426 Posts user info edit post |
Here is my way too big card for tomorrow
12:00 UConn -7.5 vs Providence 1:00 Delaware +11.5 vs. Northeastern 1:30 Kansas -26.5 vs. Colorado 2:00 Texas A&M -9.5 vs. Oklahoma 3:00 Columbia +5 vs. Cornell 3:00 Cleveland St. +7 vs. Ill-Chi 3:00 Kent St -6.5 vs. Northern Ill 4:00 Denver +8.5 vs. Western KY 4:00 Washington -13.5 vs. Oregon St. 4:15 Morehead St. -9 vs. Eastern Ill 5:00 Santa clara -15 vs. Loyola Marymount 6:00 Baylor +16 vs. Texas 6:00 Furman +6 vs. UNCG 7:00 Western Car. +16 vs. Davidson 7:00 South Car +12.5 vs. Miss St 8:00 Middle Tenn -7 vs. La. Lafayette 8:05 Bradley +6.5 vs. Missouri St. 1/27/2007 4:20:21 AM |