^we play BC, GT, Wake and FSU...its not like we finish against Miami, Duke and UVA here.

2/26/2013 7:25:08 AM

And yet it's not like we're Miami, Duke, or UVA either.


The odds are 3:1 against us closing out with 4 wins.

[Edited on February 26, 2013 at 8:40 AM. Reason : a]

2/26/2013 8:39:30 AM

Lol, UVA never loses to awful teams... Oh wait.

[Edited on February 26, 2013 at 9:13 AM. Reason : Old Dominion is 4-24... Yes, 4-24]

2/26/2013 9:10:59 AM

BUT A STARTER WAS INJURED

2/26/2013 9:21:45 AM

UVa has the strangest resume I've ever seen.

Losses to ODU, Delaware, Wake, Clemson and Ga Tech but a ridiculously high Pomeroy and decent record against Top 100.

Where did Lunardi have them? Can't be too many at-large bids with RPI in 70s can there be?

V KenPom all day, every day

[Edited on February 26, 2013 at 9:26 AM. Reason : D]

2/26/2013 9:24:41 AM

Quote :

"The odds are 3:1 against us closing out with 4 wins."

You have said this in at least 5 posts since Saturday. How exactly did you calculate your 3:1 odds? It's not like Vegas has made a line on NC State's next four games yet.

I think we are more like 4:1 odds to pull this off. Just looking at the games, we should be solid favorites against BC and Wake (~85%) since we are good at home and both BC/Wake are poor road teams. @GT, we should be 1-2 pt favorites (~55% odds), @FSU will depend on how they play their next 3 games, but at this point, we would be 2-3 pt favorites (~60% odds).

Just doing the math = .85*.85*.55*.60 = 0.24

So a 24% chance we pull off all three. Obviously if we win this weekend, the numbers start looking a little better. That @GT could decide our fucking season. Crazy...


Also if we win out and UNC loses to Duke, do we not hold a tie breaker over UNC??

2/26/2013 9:25:06 AM

Quote :

"Where did Lunardi have them?"

last i saw them, first four out

2/26/2013 9:50:10 AM

Quote :

"2.If the tied teams played each other twice in the regular season and split their games, then each team's record vs. the team occupying the highest position in the final regular season standings (or in case of a tie for first place, the next highest position in the regular season standings) and then continuing down through the standings until one team gains an advantage."

[Edited on February 26, 2013 at 9:52 AM. Reason : ]

2/26/2013 9:52:02 AM

^ In that case we win the tie break on UNC right? We both lost to Miami so we go to Duke. We went 1-1 vs Duke, UNC would be 0-2 vs Duke assuming they lose in Chapel Hill.

2/26/2013 9:54:15 AM

but in a 3 way tie with unc and uva, i'm pretty sure we would be 3rd

2/26/2013 10:15:19 AM

damn, just saw the iowa st/kansas business.

2/26/2013 11:05:42 AM

Quote :

"That @GT could decide our fucking season. Crazy..."

a little extreme, ya think? Plz explain

2/26/2013 11:38:53 AM

Yes, 24% is a good estimate. Thats 3:1 odds

20% would be 4:1.

2/26/2013 11:52:01 AM

Every game from now on decides our season. That is how life is at a top basketball program

2/26/2013 11:52:04 AM

^^ Yeah I get you now. For some reason I was looking at 3:1 meaning 2:1 (i.e. 33% chance).

As for what I meant about @GT deciding our season, I think if we lose there, we probably lose @FSU too thus dropping to the wrong side of the bubble. I think a loss @GT would almost be a final nail in this disappointing season. Granted we win there and beat Wake & FSU and maybe we roll into the ACCT and NCAAT in fine fashion. That is why I meant that the @GT game was critical.

GT is no pushover at home and they gave us trouble when we played them in Raleigh. They have size in the middle which can be trouble for us. Vandy will likely have to play as well which is a huge negative.

2/26/2013 1:18:48 PM

if we are playing for 3rd and lose to GT...

2/26/2013 1:32:22 PM

Land of a thousand lakes.

2/26/2013 9:03:27 PM

Damn, shut this fucking Dakich up. Fucking annoying

2/26/2013 9:10:19 PM

Why is Dakich so pissed that Minnesota doesn't have a practice facility?

2/26/2013 9:13:39 PM

probably just looked around and started bitching about the first thing that came to mind.

2/26/2013 9:26:03 PM

complaining is his schtick

2/26/2013 9:29:13 PM

i enjoyed that mini-interview w/ cuonzo martin just now.

2/26/2013 9:34:53 PM

Indiana and Florida are clearly dominant teams this year

2/26/2013 11:21:37 PM

Xavier beat over-rated Memphis.

2/26/2013 11:43:12 PM

3 of 4 ranked teams including 2 top 10 teams lost to unranked teams last night. Just another day in college basketball this season.

2/27/2013 10:23:32 AM

^^^ UF is an enigma. One game they thrash the shit out of a decent team in Arkansas and a few days later they lose to an average team in UT. I still think they'll be a Final Four team.

As for IU, they were due for an off game after all the tough games they've had recently.

2/27/2013 10:33:17 AM

Good teams lose on the road to shitty teams. Sound the alarm.

2/27/2013 10:36:21 AM

Quote :

"Indiana and Florida are clearly dominant teams this year"

wrong, there really are no dominant teams this year.

I'd pick IU all the way though if I had to fill out a bracket today. Not dominant, but I think the best option to pick.

2/27/2013 10:39:54 AM

The current number one team (Indiana) has lost 4 games, 3 in conference.

and Florida has lost 5.

[Edited on February 27, 2013 at 10:42 AM. Reason : ]

2/27/2013 10:41:53 AM

bracket is going to be crazy this year. ha maybe we'll get a 16 beating a 1

2/27/2013 10:43:11 AM

IU lost to a bubble team!

Decline all tourney invites. Season over.

2/27/2013 10:54:23 AM

no talk about Adidas schools (other than us and Michigan) wearing short sleeved jerseys in the tournament?

it'd be pretty hilarious if a majority of them go out early

2/27/2013 12:34:21 PM

do you mean we and michigan are wearing them? or the other way around?

michigan said no here
http://www.mlive.com/wolverines/index.ssf/2013/02/report_michigan_will_not_wear.html

2/27/2013 12:44:38 PM

Quote :

""Officials at Michigan and N.C. State, two other adidas schools in position to make the NCAA tournament, said they will not wear short-sleeve jerseys," the site reported."

[Edited on February 27, 2013 at 12:53 PM. Reason : [/b]]

2/27/2013 12:52:43 PM

even better. both state and michigan said no.

2/27/2013 12:56:25 PM

We learned our lesson with unitards.

2/27/2013 1:03:23 PM

this is just like last year when louisville and some other schools wore those goofy ass "camo" jerseys.

2/27/2013 2:25:33 PM

could wear tutus for all i care if we get to the final four ha

2/27/2013 2:26:14 PM

Omar Comin

2/27/2013 9:04:13 PM

Maryland lost to Georgia Tech

2/27/2013 10:05:46 PM

Miami back on track

2/27/2013 10:06:29 PM

^that is good for us. keeps them off our back

2/27/2013 10:06:52 PM

i'd be fine tryin out some sleeved jerseys

just not during the fucking ncaa tournament

2/27/2013 10:16:01 PM

Fire Beeline!

2/27/2013 10:28:24 PM

Bear Down

2/27/2013 11:36:51 PM

what an expect OU collapse.

2/27/2013 11:59:04 PM

Quote :

" in position to make the NCAA tournament, "

the jinx is in

2/28/2013 1:15:19 AM

Go home Adidas, you're drunk.

2/28/2013 12:32:30 PM

^

2/28/2013 12:39:28 PM

I'd buy a state zubas jersey. For the lulz.

2/28/2013 2:13:45 PM