^^I wouldn't worry about that.


[Edited on December 23, 2010 at 9:36 AM. Reason : page 5, you saucy little minx.]

12/23/2010 9:36:09 AM

my family is still freaking out about getting to charleston monday morning. even if this thing moves further east, that still sucks because it will be over our traveling route which is 95 mainly

12/23/2010 10:00:27 AM

^^Any idea of which city will get it worse, Raleigh versus Charlotte?

12/23/2010 10:02:24 AM

Oh how I would love this:

12/23/2010 10:04:53 AM

^^RDU would get it worse than CLT at this point.

^And that says AccuWeather on it, so it's immediately null and void.

[Edited on December 23, 2010 at 10:13 AM. Reason : ]

12/23/2010 10:13:18 AM

Trust me, I know. But I would LOVE to get a foot here.

So, originally this system was thought to move in Saturday morning. Now, can we expect things to be mostly clear absent a few flurries until Christmas night? If I were to bail on Christmas Day festivities to get home before the storm (however intense it is) hits, around what time of day should I expect the storm to make it to Raleigh?

12/23/2010 10:16:32 AM

It keeps slowing down...enough to where we could say it'll be overnight Saturday into Sunday. You could probably leave Sat. afternoon and be OK, depending on how far you have to go.

12/23/2010 10:18:25 AM

Thanks, that's what I was thinking! We'll only be 1-2 hours away.

12/23/2010 10:26:57 AM

with the last week as warm as it has been the ground will take a lot before it begins to stick to the roads at least, which at this point in my life is the best kind of snow, everywhere but the roads

12/23/2010 10:53:07 AM

you think? I don't know but i don't think a few days of "warm" temps negates all that cold we have had. i think it will stick pretty quick

12/23/2010 10:54:18 AM

aspalt warms up pretty quick in direct sun, even when it's less than 32 as the high snow will melt on it. it's been in the 40's most of the week during the day at least...

not saying it won't stick but it won't pile up on the roads as bad as it would have a week ago.

12/23/2010 10:57:04 AM

No, there will be issues with road accumulations with this system.

12/23/2010 10:57:47 AM

I think NBC is the first of the local stations to actually put out accumulation totals:

12/23/2010 11:35:17 AM

it is telling that a lot of the stations, nws included, are not throwing out accumulation totals yet.

usually they have no problem saying a trace-1 inch, 2 to 3 inches, etc...

12/23/2010 11:42:18 AM

Please please please let it be a repeat of 2000. But I'm not holding my breath

12/23/2010 11:42:45 AM

lol. They have 4 different "possible" tracks from a good amount to none.

12/23/2010 11:44:54 AM

Ah. I only saw the one they're using for hype on the homepage.

12/23/2010 11:46:02 AM

This thing is falling apart. I'd love to be wrong but it again appears climo beats modeling. Especially several days out.

12/23/2010 11:47:43 AM

My latest discussion and forecast: http://www.sandhillswx.com but yes not looking as good today. For the record you can pretty much ignore inaccuweather. They are all about the hype.

12/23/2010 11:53:01 AM

NWS finally released another discussion (12 hours since the last one)
and it makes it sound pretty noneventful and weak now

12/23/2010 3:31:23 PM

Not necessarily. It's saying the trends point to a weaker system, definitely don't say "nonevent." And there's still so much wiggle room it's ridiculous. That's why they haven't really given amounts, yet.

12/23/2010 4:14:39 PM

I love the "the trend is your friend" statement.

Gotta hate all that wiggle room.

12/23/2010 4:19:44 PM

Bdub - The NWS is generally only scheduled to put out discussions at certain times throughout each days. The major updates are about 12 hours apart.

12/23/2010 4:49:43 PM

So, what, now were looking at minimal amounts of snow? Is that what the trends are showing?

12/23/2010 5:00:31 PM

i hope all your dreams of snow are crushed by a 40 degree rain

12/23/2010 5:21:31 PM

mike maze just said as of now, we have a 30% chance of 1 inch or more.

coast has a 70% chance of 1 inch or more

12/23/2010 5:22:44 PM

12/23/2010 6:07:48 PM

Don't get mazed

12/23/2010 6:30:23 PM

lame...

12/23/2010 6:45:29 PM

what websites do you guys use for your model outputs?

12/23/2010 8:00:09 PM

any updates? WRAL busted by bubble this morning with a trace - 2 inches for us.

12/24/2010 2:38:27 PM

My thoughts:


Discussion and Forecast: http://www.sandhillswx.com

12/24/2010 2:44:02 PM

Seems like no one/no models really know what the hell is going to happen. Anything from a dusting to a foot is still in play from what i'm reading (primarily on Americanwx)

12/24/2010 3:30:48 PM

Love the 1-2 inches possible....

that was the forecast when we were hit with 22" in 2000

COME ON 2 FEET!!!!!

12/24/2010 4:35:20 PM

the latest discussion says that the models are trending more toward the coast and stronger... or something like that. say something about they thought it was a model error or something...i really don't understand what they are trying to say.

12/24/2010 8:20:03 PM

WRAL just upped their accumulation forecast.

12/24/2010 8:48:26 PM

12/24/2010 8:57:07 PM

WTF does QPF mean on those forecasts?

12/24/2010 9:14:01 PM

Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts

12/24/2010 9:56:11 PM

New map:

12/24/2010 11:59:17 PM

so now it looks like we are going to get more than they thought... wonder what it will look like tomorrow b/c it is changing like the weather...err... wrong simile

12/25/2010 12:26:00 AM

Snow could be cool. As long as I have power I should have everything I need at home or within walking distance of home.

12/25/2010 1:23:52 AM

"the trend is your friend"... and the trend is higher amounts



[Edited on December 25, 2010 at 7:51 AM. Reason : ]

12/25/2010 7:22:55 AM

w00t and I'm dead center of that 5-9 living in southeastern Halifax County!

12/25/2010 8:30:14 AM

One little eastward jog and you guys will be crying foul...

12/25/2010 8:34:40 AM

12/25/2010 9:22:42 AM

FUUUUUUUUUUUUU

12/25/2010 10:30:15 AM

nothing but rain in CLT, still 39 degrees outside

[Edited on December 25, 2010 at 4:50 PM. Reason : 3399]

12/25/2010 4:49:31 PM

It's raining in Greenville, so it's coming your way. Within an hour I'd say.

12/25/2010 5:08:51 PM

Fishel calling for 5-6" now. And I'm back in raleigh so let is snow let it snow

12/25/2010 6:18:53 PM