TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
I just put $100 on like 20 different games when I bet...if I can somehow do better than 50%, I win
It USUALLY works out to a few hundred bucks a week which is fine by me] 10/1/2007 5:29:23 PM |
sd2nc All American 9963 Posts user info edit post |
Would be hard for me to bet the under tonight, with the Pats putting up 38 the first three games and Cincy giving up 51 two weeks ago, but that's just me. I wish you luck MacGyver. 10/1/2007 5:33:03 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
MacGyver is my sworn enemy. Death to MacGyver!
10/1/2007 5:48:09 PM |
Slave Famous Become Wrath 34079 Posts user info edit post |
Trying to salvage the weekend
Rockies +125
Pats/Bengals under 54 10/1/2007 6:47:33 PM |
sd2nc All American 9963 Posts user info edit post |
Kentucky opens at +3.5 vs. other USC 10/1/2007 6:49:03 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
Great article on tonights game...
http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=150945
Quote : | "What bettors need to know: Patriots at Bengals By ALAN MCNAMARA | September 30, 2007 | 26 comments New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals (+ 7 ½, 53 ½)
Dominant Pats
The Patriots have steamrolled their opposition so far this season, going 3-0 with ease and posting some of the best numbers in the league. They’ve scored exactly 38 points in each game this season and won by at least 20 points every time.
"We’ve had good weapons every year," quarterback Tom Brady told the Boston Globe when asked if this was the best Patriots offense he has played with. "It’s not like this passing game never existed before this season. We’ve done some good things."
"We led the league in passing for a few years, so it’s just a matter of whether it’s a different style, and I think we’re expanding the field a little bit more vertically."
The Patriots offense ranks first in the NFL with an average 441 yards and 38 points per game this season. But the defense – also No. 1 in the NFL – has been equally as impressive, allowing only 207 yards and 11.7 points per game.
Chink in the armor?
If the Patriots have shown one weakness this season it’s in defending in their own red zone. New England have surrendered TDs all five times opponents have moved inside their 20-yard line.
Always the pessimist, coach Bill Belichick recently pointed out his team has vulnerabilities that it is continually working on.
"We haven't stopped anybody yet, so it starts with me," he told the Associated Press this week. "We can't let them in the end zone every time they cross the 20-yard line. It's just ridiculous."
Ten other NFL teams have allowed the opposition to score from inside the red zone 100 percent of the time, but only New England has given up a touchdown on every occasion.
"We need to go out there and perform better in the red zone," linebacker Junior Seau added when speaking to the Boston Herald.
"Talking about how we’re going to do it is something we don’t want to hear. We want to go out there and showcase what we know we can do in the red zone (because) we haven’t been able to do that."
Bengals’ Johnson ruled out
Cincinnati will be without running back Rudi Johnson due to a strained hamstring. The Bengals injury report lists Johnson as out for the game and he didn’t practice on Friday.
Johnson has had more carries the past three seasons than any other running back in the league. But he started poorly this year, managing only eight catches and 58 rushing yards in three games.
Sixth-year running back Kenny Watson will step in for Johnson. It is Watson's first start since 2002 when he was with the Washington Redskins. Watson has been mainly used as a special teams player in his five seasons with Cincinnati.
"He's a little bit different style of runner than Rudi," Bengals coach Marvin Lewis told the Associated Press. "Certain runs we do offensively have been set up a little differently than where Rudi's strengths are."
Special teams not so special
The Bengals were one of the best clubs in the NFL on special teams last season, but they have struggled in this area this year. They've allowed a kick return of at least 47 yards in each of their three games so far, and rank 25th in the league in punt returns, 18th in kickoff returns, 27th in punt coverage and 29th in kickoff coverage.
That’s compared to last season when they led the NFL in punt coverage, allowing just 5.6 yards per return, and were sixth in their kickoff coverage.
"We're not executing," head coach Marvin Lewis told the Cincinnati Post after last Sunday’s loss to Seattle. "We're not kicking it, were not covering it."
Cincinnati’s special teams struggles cost them a chance to win the game against the Seahawks. Receiver Glenn Holt was returning a kick with one minute remaining in a 24-21 game, but instead of going to ground and getting the offense on the field, he chose to run. Holt ended up fumbling the ball and losing possession.
Seattle then ran out the clock and secured the win.
"I can't say exactly what's wrong but I know we're going to stick together," Watson told the Post. "We're going to keep working hard at it."
" |
10/1/2007 7:06:59 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
Just a little heads up. SportsInteraction has a $1k guaranteed $1 rebuy as part of their special NFL kickoff going. This is the last week. This normally wouldn't be a big deal, but only 50 something people played in it last week. Pretty ripe if you ask me.
It starts at 10pm, reg ends at 9:55. 10/1/2007 9:42:07 PM |
fjjackso All American 14538 Posts user info edit post |
yea but it's also a rebuy and addon event, so those 50 people will end up being equivalent to about 250 and cost you about 5-7 bucks if you plan on placing
[Edited on October 1, 2007 at 9:44 PM. Reason : oh i know who you are now, yea you know this fact already] 10/1/2007 9:43:32 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
I know, and a $1k guaranteed with 50 people is still a HELL of a poker tourney.
Including rebuys and addons.
^
[Edited on October 1, 2007 at 9:55 PM. Reason : .] 10/1/2007 9:53:29 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
Still liking both my bets. Cincy +8.5 can still cover, and the under is almost a lock. As long as some shit doesnt get really out of hand, the under covers, and once again I split my big money bets if Cincy cant cover the spread. I keep ending up just a little every night because I am splitting the big money bets every night since Friday. Just one night where they both cover and I am up a good sum. One more TD by NE though, and I cant win both, so right now I am pretty much just expecting a split. Minus the juice. ....again
[Edited on October 1, 2007 at 11:16 PM. Reason : ..] 10/1/2007 11:16:06 PM |
fjjackso All American 14538 Posts user info edit post |
over 10/1/2007 11:26:07 PM |
Slave Famous Become Wrath 34079 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "I keep ending up just a little every night because I am splitting the big money bets every night since Friday" |
If you're splitting and betting the same amount, shouldn't you be down a little instead of up once the vig factors in?10/1/2007 11:29:58 PM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
thank god for monday making up for the weekend 10/1/2007 11:52:10 PM |
Slave Famous Become Wrath 34079 Posts user info edit post |
Wow we knew Illinois was good
but favored by 3 points over Wisconsin
an unranked team over number 5 in the country
Wow that might be a first
adding Memphis -2.5 for tommorow night
Dead teammate = Inspired players
I hope that doesn't sound as cold as it looks.
[Edited on October 2, 2007 at 12:00 AM. Reason : x] 10/1/2007 11:58:10 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
^^^Tonight, yes because both bets were big bets, but the other days I have posted, my smaller bets have covered the juice, and won me some in addition since I have been winning them at such a high %.
[Edited on October 2, 2007 at 12:02 AM. Reason : .] 10/2/2007 12:02:13 AM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
^^ Never bet against the Zookster or Mendenhall this year!! 10/2/2007 12:05:07 AM |
sd2nc All American 9963 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "The following bet(s) have been placed on your account:
Event 1: New England at Cincinnati Selection 1: New England - 8.5
Event 2: San Diego at Colorado (Moneyline) Selection 2: Colorado: J Fogg (Action)
Event 3: San Diego at Colorado (Over/Under) Selection 3: Over + 9.0
Bet Amount:$ 35.42 Price: +720 Payout: $ 290.46" |
bttt for a pat on the back!10/2/2007 10:08:27 AM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
Nice score! 10/2/2007 11:05:14 AM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
13-5
Gonna go out on a limb tonight and take the:
Angels moneyline +150 10/2/2007 4:55:51 PM |
sd2nc All American 9963 Posts user info edit post |
eh, that game is tomorrow.....you expecting to see a big drop in that price? 10/2/2007 5:27:16 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
ah hell, I didn't even look at the date 10/2/2007 5:45:14 PM |
sd2nc All American 9963 Posts user info edit post |
ahahahahahahahahahaha
I was like, damn, did they switch the date or something? 10/2/2007 5:52:23 PM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
LoL 10/2/2007 6:10:16 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
Any thoughts on tonights game Memphis at home vs Marshall.
Marshall is god aweful, they have tons of starters out due to injuries, and their defense is 115th in the nation. I am really liking Memphis -3. Not sure o/u59. I am leaning to the over. 10/2/2007 6:41:44 PM |
Slave Famous Become Wrath 34079 Posts user info edit post |
already got Memphis at -2.5 10/2/2007 7:09:21 PM |
Murdoc Suspended 391 Posts user info edit post |
Took Memphis -3 and the over 10/2/2007 8:11:22 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
I took Memphis -3 and the under 59.5
under is looking good, but memphis is looking like shit 10/2/2007 9:19:24 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
WEEK 6
here are my "stone cold, lead pipe, take them out behind the woodshed" locks for Week 4. .... Year-to-date record in parentheses.
* (13-7-1) Memphis -3 vs. Marshall - P Memphis vs. Marshall U59.5 - W
** (7-8)
*** (19-6)
**** (9-4)
***** (3-1)
[Edited on October 2, 2007 at 11:48 PM. Reason : d] 10/2/2007 11:33:43 PM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
^13-7-1?? or do u count that as no action?
[Edited on October 2, 2007 at 11:46 PM. Reason : ] 10/2/2007 11:46:35 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
normally just no play, but I will throw it up 10/2/2007 11:48:18 PM |
k2taboo All American 1280 Posts user info edit post |
gotcha i had -3 as well i was cheering for them when marshall fumbled haha
[Edited on October 2, 2007 at 11:50 PM. Reason : ] 10/2/2007 11:50:38 PM |
Slave Famous Become Wrath 34079 Posts user info edit post |
-2.5 ftw
motherfuck a push
3 in a row baby 10/3/2007 12:57:35 AM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
any thoughts on tonight? Southern Miss -20 (20.5 some places)
Rice is fucking horrible, lost to freaking Nichols St.
BUT... S. Miss is starting their 3rd string QB 10/3/2007 2:16:51 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
how can you consider a 7-8 record to be "stone cold locks" 10/3/2007 2:21:05 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
sigh... dont be stupid.
First off, if you take all of them I am hitting over 66%
or, if you just look at the higher ranked ones, the ones I am more sure of, I am at 74% which is really really good 10/3/2007 2:27:58 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
66% isnt a "stone cold lock" either
to be the shit, you have to do more than just say you're the shit
i regularly pick better than 60% of just spreads...but i don't say my picks are stone cold locks
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:38 PM. Reason : .] 10/3/2007 2:36:28 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
yea you are right, I should hit 100%. Thats totally realistic. In fact, i am going to do 16 teams parleys every week from now on 10/3/2007 2:39:32 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
being realistic would be not acting like you're brandon lang when you're average, mang
HEY I TOOK YOUR ADVICE AND WENT 3-3 THIS WEEK, THANKS FOR THE STONE COLD LOCKS
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:44 PM. Reason : .] 10/3/2007 2:43:32 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
ok, you havent been betting long.. 66% isnt "average", and 74% is nowhere close
^ NO, you took SOME of my advice, you selectively picked SOME of my suggestions... if you would have taken all of it you would have gone 8-4... which is really good
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:46 PM. Reason : d] 10/3/2007 2:44:55 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
and neither of those are nowhere close to "stone cold locks"
i've been about 65% this year picking every single top 25 college game with the spread and about 5 nfl games a week...whoopty do, i'm gonna act like i'm special
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:46 PM. Reason : .] 10/3/2007 2:45:39 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
you are crazy, 74% is about the best you are ever going to do... you make it sound like people are hitting 95% (the only ones that come anywhere close to that are the ones that pick 1-2 games a week).
^ then why are you going by what I say if its so easy? you have figured out how to bust vegas!!! no one else ever has!
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:48 PM. Reason : d] 10/3/2007 2:47:24 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
you just think you're so great at picks don't you...i bet $2500 a week and always win a few hundred...you bet like 50 dollars a week...if i was so overly confident in my locks i'd use my skills to make more than fast food money
and i'm not going by what you say...im giving an example of what could hypothetically happen if somebody picked a random 6 of your locks
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:49 PM. Reason : .] 10/3/2007 2:48:20 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
no, much more than $50 a week. but that has nothing to do with how right you are about the picks...
^ ok, you have to be trolling now... oh shit, I picked the 4 that I lost, I was 0-4!. jesus you are being a tool or trolling like a mofo, you sound like fucking MacGyver
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:50 PM. Reason : d] 10/3/2007 2:49:09 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
i just figure if you're confident you'd use your betting skill to make some money
Quote : | "10-30 usually, sometimes up to 100" |
i'm not saying your picks are bad...im just saying they're not good enough to claim "stone cold locks"
Quote : | "ok, you have to be trolling now" |
im trying to bring you back to reality from your imaginary pedestal on which you sit atop as the best handicapper in the land
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:51 PM. Reason : .,]10/3/2007 2:49:44 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
per game... around 20 games a week... but once again, has nothing to do with your %
^ never said I was the best...but I have posted all my picks this year, and I am hitting really good
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:51 PM. Reason : d] 10/3/2007 2:51:07 PM |
sd2nc All American 9963 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "i bet $2500 a week and always win a few hundred" |
well that's just about the most retarded thing anyone has ever said on this site.
Quote : | "I just put $100 on like 20 different games when I bet...if I can somehow do better than 50%, I win
It USUALLY works out to a few hundred bucks a week which is fine by me" |
oh shit, you actually said it twice....
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:55 PM. Reason : .]10/3/2007 2:52:41 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
why is that? $100 each on 25 games...better than 50% = win
and obviously thats 100% hypothetical since gambling is illegal 10/3/2007 2:54:08 PM |
Jaybee1200 Suspended 56200 Posts user info edit post |
you would need to hit 14 at least
[Edited on October 3, 2007 at 2:56 PM. Reason : d] 10/3/2007 2:56:09 PM |
ncsuapex SpaceForRent 37776 Posts user info edit post |
you crazy kids and you're silly internet arguing. lol 10/3/2007 2:57:05 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148457 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "better than 50% = win" |
Quote : | " you would need to hit 14 at least" |
or 13, math genius10/3/2007 2:57:06 PM |