Quote :

"it's fucking 60 degrees outside right now i'm calling bullshit on the whole god damned storm"

well, the forecasted high was 60 degrees, and looking at the hourly forecast from now on it will be cooling down. i don't see the problem here.

1/28/2010 1:36:23 PM

Quote :

"Much of North Carolina is now under a Winter Storm Watch from Friday night until Saturday night. After a nice, sunny day of 60 degrees today a cold front will move through central NC early tomorrow morning. This will bring in much colder air tomorrow, just in time for a low pressure system to bring the chance for precipitation to the area Friday night. Precipitation is expected to move over the Triangle around 7 or 8pm tomorrow, so the commute home tomorrow afternoon should be okay. The main forecasting issues with this system will be the type of precipitation that will fall, whether it will be all snow, an ice/snow mix, or mainly all ice. Our area looks to be right on the border between all snow and a mix of ice and snow. A lot of the models have trended towards some ice, but mostly snow for Raleigh, mainly all snow west and north of the area, and the best chance for freezing rain or sleet should be south and east of Raleigh. As of now, it looks possible for us to see a quarter of an inch of ice before changing over to all snow for Saturday. With plenty of moisture expected to fall, snowfall totals could be high and right now it looks reasonable for us to see 10-14’’. Any deviations in the track of the low could greatly factor into that snow total. If the ice line were to shift northward we would see more ice and less snow. WRAL was showing around 10’’ of snow on their forecast earlier today and the National Weather Service is showing around 7’’ of snow. Keep posted on future updates to this forecast. "

1/28/2010 1:37:53 PM

haha what blog are you quoting there

1/28/2010 1:40:01 PM

its not a blog, it's our company's meteorologist -- everytime i post this kinda quoted stuff it's coming from his emails

1/28/2010 1:40:45 PM

yeah it does read like inside info

1/28/2010 1:44:37 PM

i never said it was insider info, just that i wasn't quoting a blog

1/28/2010 1:45:50 PM

your company employs a meteorologist?

1/28/2010 1:48:45 PM

we employ 2 meteorologists. one in this office (Cary, NC) and the other in our main office in Indianapolis.

1/28/2010 1:49:11 PM

for what purpose? just to let you know what the drive to and from work will be like?

1/28/2010 1:49:44 PM

my industry relies heavily on weather forecasts/trends/changes to be able to do our job properly

1/28/2010 1:51:01 PM

oic, makes sense then.

good to know that you can do other things with a meteorology degree besides being a weather man.

1/28/2010 1:51:44 PM

oh they're still weathermen i mean, they're always forecasting stuff. they just aren't on TV predicting snow. they're at a desk on a trading floor sending out emails predicting snow.

1/28/2010 1:53:27 PM

how hard is it to be a meteorologist really? i mean, with the internet it seems that just about anyone could make fairly accurate predictions

1/28/2010 1:56:20 PM

i agree i mean, you gotta learn what it is you're lookin' at to be able to predict trends and stuff. but yes, most websites do all the thinking for you these days.

1/28/2010 1:57:34 PM

I could totally get up on TV and say "Well, depending on how this storm tracks and which model you go by, we could expect anywhere from 1-12 inches of snow". Which is pretty much all my local weather guy does.

1/28/2010 2:00:36 PM

That's why it's hilarious to me that Greg Fischel takes his job so seriously, and calls himself a Chief Meteorologist, and people buy into that. He's no different than any other weather guesser.

1/28/2010 2:04:47 PM

I just love how vague they are up until the point that the storm is over us and dumping snow.

"The possibility of significant snow accumulation". OK, let's break that down. So there is a possibility. Define possibility. Is it more on the side of probably, or more on the side of not likely? Next, define significant. Two inches might be significant to some people, while others wouldn't consider anything under 6 inches to be significant.

I think I am going to look into becoming a weatherman

1/28/2010 2:08:39 PM

Quote :

"Two inches might be significant to some people, while others wouldn't consider anything under 6 inches to be significant. "

that's what she said

1/28/2010 2:09:46 PM

WRAL is now saying: North Carolina is bracing for a major storm that could bring nearly a foot of snow and several inches of ice in some areas. The storm is expected to begin Friday night and last throughout most of Saturday. They're saying Raleigh will get 12".

1/28/2010 2:10:10 PM

^^^yeah, that and when they say things like "well main forecasting issue here is whether it snows or rains/cloudy or sunny/windy or calm". yes, i think that's always the issue in forecasting.

[Edited on January 28, 2010 at 2:11 PM. Reason : ]

1/28/2010 2:10:53 PM

We're gonna get fishel'd

Quote :

""WeatherScope is showing a lot of snow accumulation," said WRAL meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner, who noted that weather models show Raleigh getting nearly 12 inches of snow by the end of Saturday. "Even if we don’t get this much snow, it’s likely to be enough to cause us some pretty serious problems," she added."

no shit. raleigh shuts down when there's an inch of snow or a cm of ice.

[Edited on January 28, 2010 at 2:17 PM. Reason : ]

1/28/2010 2:16:41 PM

My roommate texted me saying he saw they were starting to move the snow line slowly north again, which he claims means no snow for us as usual lol

1/28/2010 2:25:04 PM

Is Elizabeth Gardner to be trusted?

1/28/2010 2:25:35 PM

i wont buy it til the 6 o'clock news. until fishel himself allows himself to be filmed in front of the graphic I wont trust that he believes it.

1/28/2010 2:35:27 PM

no one on wral is to be trusted. Now we're gonna get Garshel'd.

1/28/2010 2:36:08 PM

Won't really have a good idea until 9 or 10pm tonight. I think Triangle south will be getting some bad news about that time.

VA border north to a line between Roanoke and Richmond will be happy.

[Edited on January 28, 2010 at 2:41 PM. Reason : if they want snow]

1/28/2010 2:40:49 PM

Quote :

"how hard is it to be a meteorologist insert career here really? i mean, with the internet it seems that just about anyone could make fairly accurate predictions insert necessary job function here"

asinine.

1/28/2010 2:41:20 PM

Well, now I have my perfect non-event image:

1/28/2010 2:41:38 PM

Huffman's new map, just released:



also mentions that Triangle could be in a thunder snow situation.

http://www.examiner.com/x-4053-Raleigh-Weather-Examiner~y2010m1d28-Thursday-afternoon-update-on-the-major-southeast-US-winter-storm

[Edited on January 28, 2010 at 2:47 PM. Reason : link]

1/28/2010 2:47:16 PM

It seems the Triad weather people are less optimistic than in Raleigh:



[Edited on January 28, 2010 at 2:58 PM. Reason : a]

1/28/2010 2:58:04 PM

^That right there is why broadcast journalists pretending to be mets give actual meteorologists a bad name. And why everyone says it's so easy to be a met. They have a graphic with "guess" on it. Indeed.

1/28/2010 3:06:02 PM

lol, it says guess right there! She's not even trying!

1/28/2010 3:14:18 PM

Could they pick any more heinous colors to create precipitation gradients with? Being red green color blind, those pinks and purples and off colors of blue-green-whatever-it-is are really hard to distinguish between.

1/28/2010 3:28:12 PM

people on the WRAL chat going on right now are downright ANGRY.

i can't believe how worked up people get about weather.

1/28/2010 3:33:49 PM

link?

1/28/2010 3:39:11 PM

http://www.wral.com/weather/page/6905790/

1/28/2010 3:45:55 PM

Quote :

"[Comment From Michelle] Well, we all know who is in charge and HE is the only one that knows where and how much it is going to be. LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW"

1/28/2010 3:53:24 PM

Quote :

"people on the WRAL chat going on right now are downright ANGRY. i can't believe how worked up people get about weather."

Are you wiseowl?

1/28/2010 3:58:06 PM

Imma tend to believe a snowfall forecast to the hundredth of an inch less than one to the nearest inch.

1/28/2010 3:58:41 PM

according to this graphic, python B will devour otter F

1/28/2010 4:13:41 PM

lol

1/28/2010 4:25:46 PM

ahahahahahaha
I love TWW

1/28/2010 4:26:58 PM

18z GFS Snowfall:



[Edited on January 28, 2010 at 5:37 PM. Reason : ]

1/28/2010 5:36:27 PM

Quote :

"good to know that you can do other things with a meteorology degree besides being a weather man."

What kind of ridiculousness is this?

1/28/2010 6:59:55 PM

^^ Haha, if you read that one the right way it says the entire southeast except the colored area is gonna get 19 inches.

1/28/2010 7:26:44 PM

Without external knowledge on meteorology graphs, there actually appear to be two ways to read that legend

1/28/2010 7:49:12 PM

^^^Thats actually the NAM. Here is the GFS

1/28/2010 8:37:39 PM

I wish I could believe this model.


[Edited on January 28, 2010 at 9:49 PM. Reason : ]

1/28/2010 9:47:11 PM

1/28/2010 10:32:01 PM

^ nice!

1/28/2010 10:43:45 PM