cptinsano All American 11993 Posts user info edit post |
Child Sex Traffickers tend to top my list
but people that like weather are shit too. 1/4/2017 12:25:17 AM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
Raleigh pwnt stay home 1/4/2017 6:49:08 AM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | " I heard it was showing 2 feet of snow yesterday!" |
And in the same ensemble, it was showing 0 feet of snow!1/4/2017 7:46:34 AM |
LudaChris All American 7946 Posts user info edit post |
Prepare for the cold rain! 1/4/2017 9:22:06 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5859 Posts user info edit post |
I'm hearing rain now. 1/4/2017 9:25:04 AM |
slckwill577 All American 757 Posts user info edit post |
When should we really start paying attention to the models?
Whats the timeframe when the models become >70% accurate? 1/4/2017 9:26:06 AM |
KeB All American 9828 Posts user info edit post |
As per WXrisk
Quote : | "OVERNIGHT UPDATE -- 0Z WED EURO MODEL STILL HAS SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM FOR MUCH OF NC VA --
the new 0z wed EURO Shows several inches of snow for charlotte Greensboro Raleigh Elizabeth city fayetteville ALL OF HAMPPON ROADS Richmond Lynchburg Danville Emporia all of the Middle Peninsula all of the Northern neck into Freedysburg Charlottesville DCA all of lower VA / MD eastern shore.
if correct this would be MAJOR SNOWSTORM for eastern VA / NC and the DELMARVA . The North edge of the snow now reaches into DC BAL PHL NYC
The other two models of importance the British and the Canadian model did shift somewhat to the east early this Wednesday morning. They still have accumulating snow of several inches across central and Eastern North Carolina and central and Eastern Virginia and into lower Maryland Eastern shore. I do NOT consider this to be a significant change given that the event is still more than three days out... this is what I would call modeled variance .
Models continue show temperatures falling Saturday morning for a 20s. Ths means that the snow ratio is are not going to be 10:1 to 13 :1 or 14:1 . This implies that the actual final snow amounts when the event and on may be somewhat higher than what most forecasts and the model data are currently depicting." |
Not only is it going to snow in Raleigh, it's going to snow at the beach. American model has east of Raleigh getting the heaviest.
[Edited on January 4, 2017 at 9:45 AM. Reason : ...]1/4/2017 9:41:48 AM |
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11610 Posts user info edit post |
Who are these assholes who think they have a handle on snow ratios? 1/4/2017 9:51:15 AM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
poor KeB 1/4/2017 9:54:50 AM |
beatsunc All American 10748 Posts user info edit post |
we going to get Fisheled 1/4/2017 10:03:05 AM |
LudaChris All American 7946 Posts user info edit post |
What's funny is Fishel has been really hesitant to project any of this, I really think that guy has gotten so much shit from people that he's afraid to be wrong haha. 1/4/2017 11:02:51 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5859 Posts user info edit post |
[Edited on January 4, 2017 at 11:25 AM. Reason : jeuss]
1/4/2017 11:24:46 AM |
KeB All American 9828 Posts user info edit post |
BOOM! Where's my milk sandwich!?!?!? 1/4/2017 11:26:12 AM |
Netstorm All American 7547 Posts user info edit post |
So "3 inches to 8 inches to WHOOOO KNOWS MYSTIC SNOW RATIO!!!!" 1/4/2017 11:42:28 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5859 Posts user info edit post |
[Edited on January 4, 2017 at 12:09 PM. Reason : small]
1/4/2017 12:09:28 PM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
weeeeeee, clown maps! 1/4/2017 12:25:30 PM |
NyM410 J-E-T-S 50085 Posts user info edit post |
I like RDU being NW of the jackpot this early on. Seems it always moves that way in the past. 1/4/2017 12:28:21 PM |
rjrumfel All American 23027 Posts user info edit post |
So for Raleigh they're calling for 3 to 8 now? 1/4/2017 12:45:36 PM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
http://www.weather.gov/media/rah/briefing/NWSRaleighLatestBriefing.pdf 1/4/2017 12:46:51 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
I believe we do get some winter weather now but I would wait until late tomorrow into friday morning before I start believing anything over 1-3" 1/4/2017 2:31:15 PM |
cptinsano All American 11993 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "They're calling for..." |
1/4/2017 2:41:33 PM |
JT3bucky All American 23258 Posts user info edit post |
So 1 inch in the triangle then.
I'd be impressed with that. Would shut down the surrounding areas for a bit and with it super cold Sunday...sticking around. 1/4/2017 3:05:37 PM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
If anything falls, with the extreme cold no salt/slurry spray road treatment will be effective. 1/4/2017 3:30:38 PM |
KeB All American 9828 Posts user info edit post |
Highway 401 in Garner has already been treated. They aren't messing around
[Edited on January 4, 2017 at 4:41 PM. Reason : N] 1/4/2017 4:40:36 PM |
ussjbroli All American 4518 Posts user info edit post |
Models are all starting to look consistent. I'd be fairly confident that Raleigh actually sees a couple inches 1/4/2017 5:20:54 PM |
BigMan157 no u 103354 Posts user info edit post |
fuck 1/4/2017 5:51:36 PM |
beatsunc All American 10748 Posts user info edit post |
1/4/2017 6:18:32 PM |
Netstorm All American 7547 Posts user info edit post |
A couple inches? Just enough to halt weekend plans.
6+ inches? I mean, sorta fun and uncommon for us.
EDIT: something something penis size
[Edited on January 4, 2017 at 6:21 PM. Reason : dongs] 1/4/2017 6:21:20 PM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
if there's anything more than 3-4 inches, it'll stick around for a while....plenty of melt/refreeze will occur to make roads hazardous after the event ends Sat evening through Tuesday morning 1/4/2017 6:28:20 PM |
Netstorm All American 7547 Posts user info edit post |
Yeah, I did see raleighwx mentioning there wouldn't be significant melting until Tuesday. 1/4/2017 6:30:12 PM |
beatsunc All American 10748 Posts user info edit post |
we will most likely have ice of color sun and mon mornings 1/4/2017 6:43:33 PM |
stowaway All American 11770 Posts user info edit post |
I better get the shift cable in on Friday and get it installed so I can actually get somewhere/anywhere that evening and the weekend. 1/4/2017 7:09:32 PM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
Ground temps are way too warm 1/4/2017 7:45:43 PM |
BridgetSPK #1 Sir Purr Fan 31378 Posts user info edit post |
LOL, I love dtownral's uppity weather predictions. 1/4/2017 8:05:28 PM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
sorry that i keep being correct about the weather i guess :shrug: 1/4/2017 8:54:20 PM |
BigMan157 no u 103354 Posts user info edit post |
but will my roads be fine? 1/4/2017 8:57:18 PM |
bbehe Burn it all down. 18402 Posts user info edit post |
Ground temp is roughly 50 degrees right now and today was the warmest it will be for awhile, ground temps will be fine by the time this rolls around on Friday night, especially given the overcast conditions. 1/4/2017 9:05:26 PM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
your ground temps will not be fine 1/4/2017 9:30:22 PM |
bbehe Burn it all down. 18402 Posts user info edit post |
So what do you think ground temp will be Friday night at say 10 pm? 1/4/2017 9:32:25 PM |
cptinsano All American 11993 Posts user info edit post |
84 1/4/2017 10:12:07 PM |
GrimReap3r All American 2732 Posts user info edit post |
It'll be a lot of cold rain mixed with some sleet and maybe a flurry of snow at the end 1/4/2017 10:24:11 PM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
^^^ 40's 1/4/2017 10:44:58 PM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
your ground temps gonna get fucked today. its cold as balls outside right now.
Quote : | "What's funny is Fishel has been really hesitant to project any of this, I really think that guy has gotten so much shit from people that he's afraid to be wrong haha." |
this. Can't even read his forecasts anymore. He doesn't go with his gut anymore.1/5/2017 5:52:55 AM |
bbehe Burn it all down. 18402 Posts user info edit post |
1/5/2017 7:20:50 AM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
[Edited on January 5, 2017 at 7:49 AM. Reason : G]
1/5/2017 7:49:04 AM |
slckwill577 All American 757 Posts user info edit post |
1/5/2017 7:53:40 AM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
this is probably your best source of reliable, not overhyped data: http://www.weather.gov/rah/winter 1/5/2017 7:59:45 AM |
slckwill577 All American 757 Posts user info edit post |
Does anybody have a grasp of when this thing is supposed to start? 1/5/2017 8:06:57 AM |
bbehe Burn it all down. 18402 Posts user info edit post |
Friday night around 9-10 1/5/2017 8:23:40 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5859 Posts user info edit post |
*.*.*.*.*.*.*.*Its GOING to SNOW*.*.*.*.*.*.*.*.* 1/5/2017 8:26:48 AM |