Quote :

"Results in key House races: Reuters poll Wed Oct 4, 2006 7:03am ET146 Politics News Democrats in reach of House control: Reuters poll Democrats use strategy of ambiguity on Iraq: experts Therapists caution grip-and-grin U.S. politicians More Politics News... Email This Article | Print This Article | Reprints [-] Text [+] By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrats lead Republicans in 11 of 15 crucial races in the November 7 election to decide which party controls the U.S. House of Representatives. President George W. Bush's Republicans now hold a 15-seat advantage over Democrats. The polls of at least 500 likely voters in each district have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. Here is a summary of the results in each race polled: ARIZONA 8 - Democratic former state Sen. Gabrielle Giffords holds a 45-37 percent lead over Republican anti-immigration activist Randy Graf, who won a heated September 12 primary over a more moderate candidate backed by the national party. COLORADO 7 - In this swing suburban Denver district, Democrat Ed Perlmutter leads Republican Rick O'Donnell by 45-34 percent. CONNECTICUT 2 - Republican Rep. Rob Simmons leads Democratic challenger Joe Courtney 44-41 percent in this heavily Democratic district, where Simmons has touted helping to save a local submarine base from closing. CONNECTICUT 4 - Republican Rep. Christopher Shays, a staunch advocate of the Iraq war who emphasizes his independence in a Democratic-leaning district, trails Democrat Dianne Farrell by 46-41 percent. ILLINOIS 6 - Democrat Tammy Duckworth, a veteran who lost both her legs in Iraq, leads Republican Peter Roskam 43-38 percent in suburban Chicago battle to replace retiring Republican Rep. Henry Hyde. INDIANA 2 - Democrat Joe Donnelly leads Republican Rep. Chris Chocola, one of the party's three endangered incumbents in normally Republican Indiana, by 48-39 percent. INDIANA 9 - In a rematch of a close 2004 race, Democratic former congressman Baron Hill leads Republican Rep. Mike Sodrel by 46-38 percent. IOWA 1 - Republican businessman Mike Whalen leads Democratic lawyer Bruce Braley 47-34 percent for the open seat of Republican Rep. Jim Nussle, who is running for governor. KENTUCKY 4 - Republican Rep. Geoff Davis leads former Democratic Rep. Ken Lucas 42-36 percent in a heated rematch of their 2002 race. MINNESOTA 6 - Republican Michele Bachmann leads Democrat Patty Wetterling 46-43 percent in the race to succeed Rep. Mark Kennedy, who is running for senator. NEW MEXICO 1 - Five-term Republican Rep. Heather Wilson trails Democrat Patricia Madrid 50-40 percent in this Albuquerque-based swing district. NORTH CAROLINA 11 - Democrat Heath Shuler, a former pro football player, leads Republican Rep. Charles Taylor 51-40 percent. OHIO 18 - Republican state Sen. Joy Padgett, who won a special primary September 14 to replace scandal-scarred Republican Rep. Bob Ney, trails Democrat Zack Space 45-35 percent. PENNSYLVANIA 6 - Moderate Republican Rep. Jim Gerlach narrowly trails Democrat Lois Murphy 43-41 percent in a rematch of their close 2004 race, one of three key House contests in the Philadelphia suburbs. VIRGINIA 2 - First-term Republican Rep. Thelma Drake trails Democrat Phil Kellam 46-42 percent in this conservative and military-oriented Virginia Beach district. "

10/4/2006 2:22:25 PM

yeah...we know about dems and thier polls....like...those great early exit polls in the 2004 election?? yeah...those were awesome

10/4/2006 2:23:48 PM

yeah...we know about dems and thier polls....like...those great early exit polls in the 2004 election?? yeah...those were awesome

10/4/2006 2:26:01 PM

Zogby Reuters poll, not democrat poll.

10/4/2006 2:27:16 PM

lets make yet another thread that could easily be a single post in one of the many existing pertinent threads

10/4/2006 2:27:56 PM

Quote :

"Zogby Reuters poll, not democrat poll."

reuters? the same people that doctored those lebanon photos???

10/4/2006 2:30:38 PM

Same coin, different face.

10/4/2006 2:32:54 PM

^^^which thread?

^^freelance journalist, not the polling division.

10/4/2006 2:34:08 PM

Again, this is the Democrats election to lose.

10/4/2006 3:04:26 PM

Robin Hayes has called my mom 5 times in the last month for help.

suckas going doooowwwwwnnnnnnnnnnnn

10/4/2006 5:36:17 PM

Quote :

"euters? the same people that doctored those lebanon photos???"

lebanese photographers are running the polls?

oh, wait, i forgot, the liberal media is monolithic

ahahaha, DONT FUMBLE, FORMER DEADSKIN HEATH SHULER!

10/4/2006 5:38:53 PM

Quote :

"abonorio: reuters? the same people that doctored those lebanon photos???"

You should be focusing on the "Zogby" instead of the "Reuters" part of that statement -- has Zogby even gotten any elections predictions right since 2000?

10/4/2006 6:08:14 PM

well, regardless of who they picked in 2000, they got it right

10/4/2006 6:36:24 PM

YOU LIBERALS AND YOU SCIENTIFIC NONSENSE

10/4/2006 6:52:01 PM

i think that list is going to end up off...not that the margin wont be that close, but every other poll ive seen doesnt have candidates like rob simmons that bad off....and heather wilson? she's keeping her seat..

what about sherwood and weldon? i can't believe they left off deborah pryce

those are dangerous seats for the GOP

10/4/2006 8:21:07 PM

i posted this in the other thread, but it got Duked:

i'll take up twista on his bet. i'll wager a six-pack of a beer of the winner's choosing that republicans will lose their majority in the House.

10/4/2006 8:51:19 PM

Busch light

PUN!

10/4/2006 8:53:26 PM

Quote :

"^^^which thread?"

I would have said in the "when democrats fail to capture the house & senate" thread, but that got locked. Maybe you created this thread to continue that discussion?

10/5/2006 7:18:06 AM

Quote :

"has Zogby even gotten any elections predictions right since 2000?"

Zogby is hardly ever right. However, I think this Foley thing is pretty volatile. I can see the democrats taking control of the House in this election. Tradesports has showed it is now in the realm of possibility too.

But after this god damned poker law, the republicans are losing my support fast. I'm moving into big-L Libertarianism if they don't get their shit together.

10/5/2006 7:52:35 AM

^its true...

i am in a tough spot in November...i cant envision a time when i will vote for a democrate, but i am having a really hard time voting republican....

even still, i hope the republicans win because i think dems in controls is just about the worst thing...well...ever

10/5/2006 8:24:24 AM

I can't see it being much worse than the Republicans.

10/5/2006 8:28:18 AM

it could be alot worse.

Iraq could be the top story of teh week


im telling you, if hastert finds a way to spread culpability or insulate his office (Reynolds CoS resigning is a start, scapegoat or not), this foley thing is going to end up with a small silver lining.

i bet every 2nd and 3rd tier candidate the dems have are dying to have Iraq/Afghanistan back on the radar/in the headlines

[Edited on October 5, 2006 at 9:51 AM. Reason : .]

10/5/2006 9:48:17 AM

Fortunately, I don't have any major races for representatives/senators this year. I do have a Governor race, and I'll be voting Democrat in it.
Its because Moore is a good, hard-working guy even if misguided sometimes, whereas Sanford is a douchebag.


Plus, with the majority of the state senate being Republican here, I don't have to worry to much about what a democratic governor would be able to do. Not to mention that he probably won't win anyhow, but Sanford will see that a lot of us don't like him.

10/5/2006 11:05:27 AM

Quote :

"it could be alot worse."

You could have another major terrorist attack against a significant domestic target. This would probably hurt the White House more than help at this point, since they've been trumpeting their effectiveness against terrorism (no attack since 9/11 statistic). Have the terrorists say they were inspired by Iraq, couple it with the NIE Report...

10/5/2006 1:08:57 PM

obviously if terrorists attack before the election its because they support the democrats and want them in control

WE CANT HAVE THAT

10/5/2006 1:10:44 PM