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 Message Boards » » OFFICIAL -- electoral votes prediction thread Page [1]  
joe_schmoe
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just put your prediction here. winner will win ... um, something.


Obama/Biden 406

McCain/Palin 132

11/3/2008 8:23:57 PM

Ernie
All American
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http://www.brentroad.com/message_topic.aspx?topic=546060

11/3/2008 8:25:59 PM

wilso
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i'm giving o-man between 330-360 EVs. i know that's kind of a wide range, but i haven't played with electoral maps much.

11/3/2008 8:36:39 PM

theDuke866
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why do we need this thread in addition to the election night thread AND the mccain/palin vs obama/biden thread?

11/3/2008 8:37:51 PM

bcsawyer
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With the wide spread of biased polls, no one knows what it's going to be. Let's just hope that there are enough Americans with sense enough to see what a piss-poor choice Obama is to keep him out of office.

11/3/2008 9:17:51 PM

UberCool
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no/confidence: 535
joe/plumber: 3

[Edited on November 3, 2008 at 9:25 PM. Reason : but who am i kidding?]

11/3/2008 9:20:18 PM

jwb9984
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obama - 291

mccain - 247

11/3/2008 9:24:34 PM

aaronburro
Sup, B
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Obama 578
McCain 278

11/3/2008 9:25:59 PM

joe_schmoe
All American
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this thread is [FAIL]

i totally forgot the other thread. no one had posted in it for a week. i guess it's [FAIL] too.

11/3/2008 10:17:27 PM

HUR
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LandSlide victory.

I honestly think the so called "LIBERAL" media is underestimating the lead of Obama. AFter all if it was going to be a wash election, less people would be interested in watching the news and the Capitalist interests in charge of the media would lose money..............................................................

oh knowz the evil corporations have taken over the media
oh wait its the socialist LIBBIES trying to fix elections against freedom loving GOPs in favor of america hating Dems

WHICH IS IT i'm confused!!! ahh!


[Edited on November 3, 2008 at 10:23 PM. Reason : l]

11/3/2008 10:22:05 PM

nastoute
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looking at the maps I think it's still possible for mccain to win

looking at cnn, if he takes ALL yellow (which is possible, remember the Bradley effect)

and then takes Virgina... (seriously, why is it blue... I don't care what you think, it's still the south)

he only needs 9 more to tie 10 to win

that's 1 or 2 more states...

11/3/2008 10:25:28 PM

joe_schmoe
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that's a lot of fucking "IFs"

LOL

11/3/2008 10:29:03 PM

HUR
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Ways in which McCain can save his campaign....

- Hawaii 5-0 uncovers the assassin that Obama hired to kill his poor grandma as a political stunt



Get-em Steve McGarret!

- Obama admits to the media before n00n EST that he is really a socialist/terrorist/communist

- 9/11 part 2 occurs at 8 am and a nationalistic fervor erupts in which Bush uses emergency powers to declare McCain his successor.

- The media uncovers Obama had an affair with a 15 year old boy.

- Sarah Palin gets eaten by a Polar Bear and the public reacts to punish all polar bears by choosing John McCain in hope corporate friendly policies will melt the ice caps. Getting revenge on polar bears.

- Cops in favor of Bush choose to drug test all voters before entering the booth; arresting those who test positive ensuring a major portion of Obama supporters don't vote.

[Edited on November 3, 2008 at 10:55 PM. Reason : L]

11/3/2008 10:53:58 PM

Ytsejam
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Quote :
"looking at the maps I think it's still possible for mccain to win

looking at cnn, if he takes ALL yellow (which is possible, remember the Bradley effect)

and then takes Virgina... (seriously, why is it blue... I don't care what you think, it's still the south)

he only needs 9 more to tie 10 to win

that's 1 or 2 more states..."


You forgot the ability of the Republicans to disenfranchise and rig elections, that is worth a good 4-5% swing in most states, so that could easily bring in those yellow states for McCain.

I would be seriously shocked if McCain got over 200 electoral votes... It isn't impossible, but Obama has the perfect storm for defeating the incumbent party 1) unpopular president 2) unpopular war and 3) downturn in the economy. McCain could be Jesus Christ himself and I still don't think he could win.
This election the Republicans deserve to lose, but the Democrats don't deserve to win.

I would guess Obama 344 McCain 194, best case for McCain he still loses but gets 260 vs Obama's 278. Even if it is really close, Obama will declare he has a mandate.

11/3/2008 11:24:35 PM

TenaciousC
All American
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Obama 340

McCain 198

11/3/2008 11:28:50 PM

Charybdisjim
All American
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Ah guess this is the real thread...

I think I'm going to go with the total predicted on Intrade.

http://www.intrade.com/

Obama: 364
McCain: 174

Also, the 50 shares of "Obama will be President" I bought at $1.12 a share are at about $9.10 now. NC and Missouri futures still offer about a 3:2 and 2:1 potential payoff if you choose the correct contract.

11/4/2008 1:17:16 AM

3 of 11
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Obama/Biden: 306

InSane/Failin: 232

Kerry States + Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Virginia, Ohio

11/4/2008 1:20:02 AM

packboozie
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Insane?

It's going to be closer than most of you are saying.....just so you know.

More like 300 238 or something along that line...

11/4/2008 1:22:10 AM

joepeshi
All American
8094 Posts
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Obama 329
McCain 209

[Edited on November 4, 2008 at 1:31 AM. Reason : asdf]

11/4/2008 1:27:14 AM

theDuke866
All American
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keep it in the first thread for this purpose

11/4/2008 8:53:25 AM

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