first

I've got on eye on BRIC countries.

12/29/2009 2:07:41 PM

12/29/2009 3:38:52 PM

lol, i almost made this the other day but decided not to since i don't contribute shit to the thread

12/29/2009 3:44:48 PM

http://www.cnbc.com/id/34612984

12/29/2009 3:54:58 PM

I'm trying to come up with a short term strategy on AAPL.

Jan 10 options expire on 1/15 and AAPL is rumored to announce their new tablet on 1/19 or 1/26. I may buy a bit on the next large dip and sell puts at 195 while expecting the stock to stay fairly flat ahead of the news. A big enough dip might also be a good opportunity to buy some Feb calls.

Thoughts on IMAX? A few people are predicting that Avatar will be a big game changer.

[Edited on December 29, 2009 at 6:02 PM. Reason : , ]

12/29/2009 5:54:06 PM

I'm going to make it a point to be part of this thread in 2010. I've avoided it until now, partly because I'd rather post about movie quotes and testicles in chit chat during the day, but mainly because I was a pussy in regards to some of the legality of what I might post with regards to my occupation. At this point, however, I think I'm savvy enough to know my bounds while still being a somewhat worthwhile contributor.

As far as BRIC is concerned for next year...We love China, we like Brazil, we're lukewarm on India and we really don't care for Russia.

Independently, I recently bought a good bit of CHL and XIN...I'm trying to stay out of America almost altogether, except for some Engineering and Industrials.

As far as IMAX, I like it, but I like waiting until Q2 right before the big summer releases that will utilize it. Q1 is kind of a dumping ground for shitty movies, and to my knowledge there aren't any real blockbusters on the horizon between now and May, when Iron Man and the rest of the cavalry dominate the box office. I like revisiting IMAX in 3-4 months...once people see that 3D shit, they aren't going to want to go back.

12/29/2009 6:18:54 PM

My thoughts:
1) India
2) China
3) Brazil
4) Russia

I've got an open position with EPI and will continue to sell puts on it through 2010.
I've done well with EWZ in the past and need to bite the bullet and get back into it, even though it's much higher than it was when I got out.
I really need to increase my exposure with China.
Russia? Meh. I'd rather put my chips on an eastern Europe ETF.

12/29/2009 6:37:39 PM

anyone have input on this?

http://seekingalpha.com/article/121376-neutral-tandem-uniquely-positioned-in-telecom

12/31/2009 3:44:36 PM

Fucking worst thread ever. Fail. Suspend.

12/31/2009 4:58:50 PM

Does anyone like Japan? Faber does... it makes sense, no one is investing there anymore. Even all the funds/etfs now are Asia ex Japan haha...

It's definitely the contrarian play right now, I just don't know if I want to dabble in junk while BRIC, asia, and the pacific are still taking off... I think I'll still only add to China/India/Pacific with tomorrow's annual contribution. I've already got ~60% intl exposure and ~25% commodity producers + physical GLD. I think we're looking at very weak domestic returns over the next ~7 years. I'll revisit once the bear market ends and our terribly policymakers are voted out.

1/3/2010 6:53:07 PM

I'm not allowed to post much of anything relevant in here b/c of my job

1/3/2010 7:16:08 PM

add to my topiks

hopefully i will man up (and stop being lazy) and start investing at least this year!

1/3/2010 8:51:54 PM

1/3/2010 10:24:12 PM

what does everyone think of this bounce today? i was hoping to get a bit of downside follow through from last week to get in some long positions but not now. however the S&P tagged a new high today and we could be seeing a breakout upward. thoughts?

1/4/2010 11:55:24 AM

Everyone and their brother started off the year with a bang except me

I plugged in a new cup and handle model I'd been working on and got smacked in the face

ICXT singlehandedly got my 2010 off to a shitastic start

We'll just have to bounce back tomorrow

1/4/2010 3:54:49 PM

Quote :

"i was hoping to get a bit of downside follow through from last week to get in some long positions"

1/4/2010 8:33:37 PM

also, what do you guys think about buying Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad (BNSF, priced at $98.80 right now) that Berkshire Hathaway is about to buy for $100/share?

There will be a few bucks to be made on the merger, and then BRK.B is scheduled for a split (!!!) to make it easier for BNSF shareholders to receive BRK.B stock instead of a cash buyout. I figure that BRK.B will make at least a short term gain as a result of the split making it more accessible, resulting in more dollars in my pocket.

1/4/2010 8:38:14 PM

Something that was a bit strange to me was the weakness in the REIT sector on such a big up day.

Entirely possibly it's the big players rotating out of the REIT sector and into something else. Remember, GS, C, BAC, and to some extent WFC were complicit in the REIT pump and equity offerings of the likes of SPG, Kimco, etc. It's very likely they made a deal with them that they'd charge high fees for the offerings but hold the prices up through year end to give some of the insiders time to quietly sell shares.

There is simply no reason the REITs should have been down, absent any real news (unless someone knows something the media doesn't) on a day like today.

1/4/2010 8:44:40 PM

found a couple of good trades in '09 by tracking companies that kept showing up on this list:

http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/unusualvolume.aspx

just bought CTRIP on account of it.


remember these are high beta names. set trailing stops/cut your losses, hedge, and use other defensive maneuvering if you're going to speculate.

1/5/2010 11:28:23 AM

Way up today thanks to F and LVS.

1/5/2010 3:14:50 PM

Bought a sizable chunk of ETFC @ 1.78 in hopes that it will kick past 2 after earnings announcement later this month

I think someone here got it @ 1.40

1/5/2010 3:38:46 PM

Picked up some AMED at $49.63.

Shares were down ~5% today after they announced a new CDO. Most analysts give a target over $60 so option premiums are good. I'll probably sell some covered calls on the next good up day.

1/6/2010 3:55:05 PM

gents, i think its time to buy silver

http://tinyurl.com/y954cfc

i'm picking up some AGQ

1/7/2010 11:00:38 AM

Quote :

"I think someone here got it @ 1.40"

yep, that was me. bought 1k shares in my normal trading account and another 5k shares in my 401k.

Also picked up 1k shares of F at 10.80 on tuesday. also within my 401k. I think ford is on the road to becoming one of the big boys again. Their new cars are comparable in quality to honda and toyota, and for the first time in my lifetime, the styling has caught up. I'd argue that the new taurus is a better looking car than the current camry or accord. It is still difficult for me to reconcile that statement in my mind, but Ford is the only domestic automaker who seems to have their shit together.

1/7/2010 11:08:08 AM

^ agreed on Ford cars. will likely buy the stock if/when we get a pullback

1/7/2010 11:14:17 AM

Quote :

"Picked up some AMED at $49.63."

Up to $51 today.

Thank god I loaded up on GE a while back.

1/7/2010 3:15:07 PM

The Ford trade just seems a bit crowded to me, and don't they have a fairly nasty debt load and didn't get any union concessions thanks to no Chap 11? You can imagine with the GM and Chrysler uncertainty that a lot of would be buyers switched to Ford. If GM re-emerges with reasonable offerings then I think this short term pop to Ford sales will get unwound. That isn't to say the stock doesn't have room to run, I just don't see it going a ton higher from here.

1/7/2010 9:29:01 PM

Huge potential for IMMU

I got in at 3.80 this morning after it had already spiked over 15 percent, but I like this to ride upwards of 5 by next week, if not by the end of the day

when HGSI came out with their lupus last year, they went from 3 to 30 in a matter of months

This one could be double digits by the end of Jan...its not too late to jump on

1/8/2010 1:05:18 PM

up to 4.50.. well damn

1/8/2010 1:39:58 PM

4.72 keep it moving baby

1/8/2010 1:49:55 PM

4.29

1/8/2010 2:18:17 PM

lol

and so the market goes

I'm going to hold at least until next Thurs when they present at JP Morgan, should see another spike then

1/8/2010 2:25:51 PM

If you want an upstart biotech, buy THRX

1/9/2010 11:06:53 PM

This thing is really setting up like a game of musical chairs. You can't afford not to ride the uptrend but it's pretty obvious some poeple are going to be left without chairs when the music stops.

We're on the verge of massive home defaults, dollar devaluation, tax increases, rent seeking govt job "creation", govt budget shortfalls, healthcare spending...

And now we see the bullish index is approaching scary levels and we're seeing inflows into long equity funds/etfs. This thing sure is going to be ugly when GDP numbers turn negative again...

1/10/2010 6:08:03 PM

I think we have until March before we see any real selling pressure. We may see a very mild correction (5-10%) in the next few weeks but I think we'll see a push into March as economic reports and indicators still point to a statistical recovery in the short term. While that is happening, money will keep flowing into commodities which will push oil up quicker and quicker. The confluence of 100 a barrel oil and selling after the 1 year mark on equities purchased last March will start a pretty severe correction. The S&P will probably hit 1250 before this happens. I'm gonna wait a couple weeks and hope we get this mild correction so I can snag some SPY or SSO calls otherwise I'll probably just keep sitting in cash until we get some sort of volume happening in the market.

1/10/2010 10:23:01 PM

picked up some INTC

1/11/2010 9:59:26 AM

up 10% on F so far. not bad for less than a week.

1/11/2010 10:51:46 AM

^ nice.

RICK up on unusual volume

1/11/2010 11:00:52 AM

so much for IMMU Slave Famous. back down around the 3.80 you got in at

1/11/2010 1:09:37 PM

^^^ I bought it on the 31st at 9.96. Up 20% for me.

Of course that was after buying in at 8.84 on 11/30 and then selling at 9.57 on 12/18.

1/11/2010 1:14:28 PM

It'll get back to the mid 4's soon enough

It dips and rips like few out there

1/11/2010 1:21:30 PM

Sold half my IMMU at 4.40 this morning

Will buy it back it if gets under 4

1/12/2010 10:49:50 AM

^^^

Nice. I had been watching it since november. I went and looked at when i 'picked' it in my motley fool CAPS acct., and it was 7.34 at the time... coulda had a ~60% gain by now. ah well, there's still room to run.

1/12/2010 10:58:38 AM

Thats one of the unbreakable rules of trading that I've discovered.

If I look at a stock, do nothing, then look at it again several months later I will have missed out on a huge return 100% of the time.

1/12/2010 2:05:18 PM

[Edited on January 12, 2010 at 2:10 PM. Reason : x]

1/12/2010 2:08:05 PM

my INTC trade not working out well, but i think im going to stay long through earnings.


bought CHBT. its up on unusual volume, and looks like its forming a penant [/speculative]

1/12/2010 2:29:44 PM

Sell 21 calls on it?

1/12/2010 2:34:14 PM

NEXM blew up today

Had my finger on the trigger for a big chunk at .65 but didn't pull it

Now its at .80 after hours today and might get to 1$ tomorrow

fuck me

1/12/2010 4:44:21 PM

double fuck me for being a sucker for quick profits

in AH @.77

Goes against all my principles and I'll probably pay dearly for it

1/12/2010 5:36:29 PM

Sold puts on EPI at 22 and 23 today.

1/13/2010 1:24:32 AM