EMCE balls deep 89866 Posts user info edit post |
Lets get it crackalackin', B.
Im betting on being able to outlive you herbs. 9/28/2015 1:08:12 PM
|
BigMan157 no u 103355 Posts user info edit post |
alright ox, why don't you take us through it? 9/28/2015 1:11:45 PM
|
EMCE balls deep 89866 Posts user info edit post |
Basically, we will all pay into this annuity fund. At some predetermned date, we will all start getting paid out of this annuity. If someone dies, their share is split amongst the living members. Last person left living gets the whole thing. 9/28/2015 1:15:26 PM
|
justinh524 Sprots Talk Mod 28411 Posts user info edit post |
Last one alive gets TWW 9/28/2015 1:22:21 PM
|
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11611 Posts user info edit post |
Quick, someone model this. 9/28/2015 5:15:31 PM
|
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11611 Posts user info edit post |
Fine. I'll model this. Assumptions: 50 people $10K buy-in uniform buy-in age of 30 average annual growth of 7% pay back starts at age 60 with an annual amount tuned to have the fund run to zero at age 100
Expected payout per member:
Member age Annual Payout/member 60 $ 5,901.64 . . . 65 $ 6,323.19 . . . 70 $ 6,809.59 . . . 75 $ 7,811.00 . . . 80 $ 9,836.07 . . . 85 $ 13,977.57 . . . 90 $ 24.143.08 . . . 100 $ 265,573.88
Live to age 62 and you would break even. Live to age 75 and you'd have a 10x ROI.
Mortality Data from: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr54/nvsr54_14.pdf 9/28/2015 5:50:48 PM
|
BJCaudill21 Not an alcoholic 8015 Posts user info edit post |
how about $10/yr 9/28/2015 5:56:29 PM
|
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11611 Posts user info edit post |
Can you be more specific? 9/28/2015 5:59:58 PM
|
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11611 Posts user info edit post |
So, for the model I posted above, if you just invested your buy-in money and got the same average annual growth, you'd outperform the tontine until age 100. 9/28/2015 6:09:56 PM
|
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11611 Posts user info edit post |
Oops. I'm wrong about solo investing out performing the tontine. I forgot the fact that you might want to take money out.
Assuming the same payout patterns, the tontine outperforms solo investing at age 70. Also, solo investing would only payout until age 81 before the funds would be depleted. 9/28/2015 6:38:45 PM
|
EMCE balls deep 89866 Posts user info edit post |
...and assuming darkone knocks a few cats off prematurely, the payout just goes up from there. Me...I'm way too nice of a person to murder my fellows.
Anyway, anyone want to go hunting? 9/28/2015 6:44:22 PM
|
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11611 Posts user info edit post |
Fishing. You want to go off-shore fishing. 9/28/2015 6:47:24 PM
|
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11611 Posts user info edit post |
IF anyone wants to play with my spreadsheet: https://www.dropbox.com/s/jl4pw4ex1wrmy0l/Tontine_Model.xlsx?dl=0 9/28/2015 6:49:51 PM
|
Wyld Stallyn Suspended 1087 Posts user info edit post |
More like TWW tonite cause
Tonight is the night
Bright lights, hype crowd
Yeah, we came to throw down
Everybody get loud
Tonight is the night
A-list, can't miss
When we burn it to the ground
Everybody get down
Tonight is the night
We stayed grindin' while our fame kept risin'
Steady climbin', now we on top
It's not something you get, it's just something we got
Cause I don't know if you know
If you know we playin' or not, tonight
Lights flashin'
When we step in the place
And you can feel the raw excitement
From the look on their face
It's like the prize right in front of my eyes to take
And the sky's the limit, got no time to waste
Tonight's the big go
Strike quick but creep slow
The competition is absent
The moment that we show
Count down from 3 go
Press X to reload
Yet they still try to topple the kingdom that we own
Outnumbered but outgunnin'
We're fearless and crowd stunnin'
Never an error on record
There's no one to protect yah
And we would still be right here
If all the money was burned
But we stay bumpin' in your ear
Cause the money was earned, yo
You can find us climbing settin' the bar
Or you could find us red carpet when we hittin' it hard
Cause the truth is you can find us wherever you are
Just look up, we're flying high with the stars cause…
Tonight is the night
Bright lights, hype crowd
Yeah, we came to throw down
Everybody get loud
Tonight is the night
A-list, can't miss
When we burn it to the ground
Everybody get down
Tonight is the night
We stayed grindin' while our fame kept risin'
Steady climbin', now we on top
It's not something you get, it's just something we got
Cause I don't know if you know
If you know we playin' or not, tonight
Lights flashin'
When we step in the place
And you can feel the raw excitement
From the look on their face
It's like the prize right in front of my eyes to take
And the sky's the limit, got no time to waste
Tonight's the big go
Strike quick but creep slow
The competition is absent
The moment that we show
Count down from 3 go
Press X to reload
Yet they still try to topple the kingdom that we own
Outnumbered but outgunnin'
We're fearless and crowd stunnin'
Never an error on record
There's no one to protect yah
And we would still be right here
If all the money was burned
But we stay bumpin' in your ear
Cause the money was earned, yo
You can find us climbing settin' the bar
Or you could find us red carpet when we hittin' it hard
Cause the truth is you can find us wherever you are
Just look up, we're flying high with the stars cause…
Tonight is the night
Bright lights, hype crowd
Yeah, we came to throw down
Everybody get loud
Tonight is the night
A-list, can't miss
When we burn it to the ground
Everybody get down
Tonight is the night
We stayed grindin' while our fame kept risin'
Steady climbin', now we on top
It's not something you get, it's just something we got
Cause I don't know if you know
If you know we playin' or not, tonight
Lights flashin'
When we step in the place
And you can feel the raw excitement
From the look on their face
It's like the prize right in front of my eyes to take
And the sky's the limit, got no time to waste
Tonight's the big go
Strike quick but creep slow
The competition is absent
The moment that we show
Count down from 3 go
Press X to reload
Yet they still try to topple the kingdom that we own
Outnumbered but outgunnin'
We're fearless and crowd stunnin'
Never an error on record
There's no one to protect yah
And we would still be right here
If all the money was burned
But we stay bumpin' in your ear
Cause the money was earned, yo
You can find us climbing settin' the bar
Or you could find us red carpet when we hittin' it hard
Cause the truth is you can find us wherever you are
Just look up, we're flying high with the stars cause…
Tonight is the night 9/29/2015 1:27:06 PM
|
GrumpyGOP yovo yovo bonsoir 18195 Posts user info edit post |
The payout is zero when the capital gets confiscated because tontines are illegal as fuck, B. 9/30/2015 2:59:29 PM
|