My gut tells me it's going to be a rough, rough next two years, but I also was pretty pessimistic during the 2018 midterms and things went a bit better than expected. Early voting seems to favor Dems, but it's probably cancelled out by the rampant gerrymandering/voter suppression.

I think the House absolutely flips and the Senate stays the same at 50/50.

10/26/2022 6:29:20 PM

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/pennsylvania/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/georgia/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/north-carolina/

10/28/2022 12:47:52 PM

"BEASLEY AND BIDEN ATE BABIES DID INFLATION"

10/28/2022 2:52:27 PM

Man parties really punish you for contributing. ENDLESS emails and texts

10/28/2022 5:51:34 PM

Ted Budd has been in Congress since 2017, but this is the year he finally does something about inflation if he's re-elected

10/28/2022 7:21:21 PM

He will fix it!

10/28/2022 8:08:39 PM

Any chance there's so much bad news, cynicism, and reservation baked into the prevailing narrative that there's room for an upside surprise?

11/3/2022 2:57:29 AM

No. Things are just going to get way more violent.

11/3/2022 8:58:05 AM

Darn it.

11/3/2022 11:12:06 AM

11/3/2022 11:34:41 AM

you know what's really gonna get my vote? spam. yeah, that'll do it.

11/4/2022 3:52:35 PM

Quote :

"No. Things are just going to get way more violent."

The French Revolution only executed 16,000 people. Weimar took about 10 years to get literally Hitler. We don't have eggs that cost $1,000,000 a dozen yet. We've had violence but there is no credible opposition to USG. Aside from some rednecks getting rowdy and shot by Federal police there shouldn't be much to worry about for another decade.

All bets are off if Putin declares Elon dictator. I then retract my above statements.

11/4/2022 10:35:13 PM

I feel like the media is preparing for a bloodbath at this point

11/5/2022 12:49:37 AM

I can't wait to point fingers.

11/7/2022 5:26:27 PM

But remember that means there's three fingers pointing back at YOU!!!

PWNT!

11/7/2022 6:10:10 PM

the fact that turnout is lowest for the elections will impact americans the most directly (local and state) really says it all

11/7/2022 10:14:04 PM

polls open

11/8/2022 6:30:48 AM

I VOATED!

Everyone at work look at my sticker and know that I am more civically active than you!

11/8/2022 11:19:36 AM

I was ballot #751 at my polling place

seems like I’m always in the 700’s

11/8/2022 1:58:05 PM

That's my biggest beef with mail-in voting: no stickers

11/8/2022 2:00:40 PM

I’m an old stubborn man who prefers to vote on election day

11/8/2022 3:32:34 PM

confirmed by the gray in the chuck pic

11/8/2022 3:34:34 PM

the only move is to embrace they gray

11/8/2022 4:45:11 PM

This seems like it's gonna be a bloodbath for dems

11/8/2022 7:35:39 PM

way too early to tell

11/8/2022 7:58:39 PM

if dems are poised to lose the senate, it is probably best for a runoff to happen in georgia

will chase oliver bring it in???

11/8/2022 8:03:20 PM

Last runoffs there went OK. But there was more anti-Trump sentiment then.

11/8/2022 8:06:21 PM

yeah. polls show though that while people want a republican senate, they tend to not want a republican in their state this election.
so if they take the majority, people will be more inclined to vote warnock and less inclined to vote herschel

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 8:08 PM. Reason : mixing up my elections]

11/8/2022 8:07:50 PM

I'm not sure I'm following you on that one.

11/8/2022 8:10:13 PM

Essentially, people want a more republican senate in general, (culture wars, whatever, idc), but most do not want their particular state to be the one giving those republican seats, which indicates that the republican candidates specifically are in a way subpar to the standards of voters. so while they like the idea of a republican controlled senate, they don't particularly like their republican candidate
as per some polls done

now, if the republicans win the senate and we go into a runoff, since people have already seen that the republicans have the senate, going with the above theory, they are less incentivized to vote against warnock cause the senate is already republican and with warnock being elected not disturbing that majority, would be less irked by it, and less likely to vote for budd, since theyre not particularly fond of him in the first place, it is mostly about that republican majority, by which this point is already there

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 8:17 PM. Reason : .]

11/8/2022 8:16:02 PM

Beasley far exceeding expectations so far

pretty fucking huge if it holds and she flips a red seat blue

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 8:33 PM. Reason : .]

11/8/2022 8:23:10 PM

yeah, raleigh/wake still only 50% counted, charlotte too.

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 8:24 PM. Reason : .]

11/8/2022 8:24:22 PM

warnock's position seems a bit precarious
a pity if he loses.

11/8/2022 8:28:06 PM

^^^That scenario would indicate that the runoff would be meaningless on a national stage.

11/8/2022 8:28:58 PM

yes, but warnock is cool.

Call me guilty of falling for appearances but I appreciate him more than most other politicians

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 8:32 PM. Reason : .]

11/8/2022 8:30:12 PM

Never can decide how much to trust him but NYT poll guy Nate Cohn

Quote :

"You should basically ignore the early votes in Ohio, Pennsylvania and North Carolina, which will be extremely unrerpesentative. Wait for completed votes"

11/8/2022 8:32:01 PM

Ohio's most likely republican
hell I think 538 has it +6 that way if I remember correctly

NC/Georgia have me watching

11/8/2022 8:35:41 PM

damn
as per chuck todd, 83% of the vote that's been counted so far has been mail in
so if the in person votes are as republican as predicted, beasly's screwed

11/8/2022 8:43:25 PM

On the other hand from cohn

Quote :

"So far, Democrats are running ahead of our expectations outside of Florida (in places with meaningful vote, which may still be contaminated with early votes); they're way running behind in Florida. It's almost entirely cancelling out at the moment "

11/8/2022 8:47:55 PM

someone needs to put all these schmucks in the same room and make them tell each other their crap

11/8/2022 8:49:33 PM

okay, warnock's under 50, he's not winning.
it is either runoff or loss now.

forget under 50, walker just jumped 1% ahead god

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 9:03 PM. Reason : .]

11/8/2022 9:02:43 PM

Florida sucks so much, no longer even close to purple I guess

11/8/2022 9:03:26 PM

it's all old people moving there
they all need that one last hurrah in the form of sunny boy DESANTIS

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 9:05 PM. Reason : .]

11/8/2022 9:05:23 PM

Florida is trash. I've been consistent on that point. Unless you're Obama, Florida always goes red. Pretending otherwise is just leading the audience on.

11/8/2022 9:29:21 PM

It was extremely close when DeSantis won his first term, same for Senator that year, gave me hope

[Edited on November 8, 2022 at 9:46 PM. Reason : Oh well]

11/8/2022 9:45:50 PM

Florida won't go blue and sinking money into it remains dumb.

The positive takeaway is Jeff Jackson won

11/8/2022 9:48:05 PM

I can't speak for the Dem Party strategy

11/8/2022 9:58:12 PM

Imagine being Warnock and losing to Walker

Really does make politics seem pointless. It’s not even about candidate character or knowledge or anything else at this point

11/8/2022 10:14:41 PM

I don't think walker is winning, probably a warnock or a runoff

the bibb and dougherty counties are only 7% in and they're big and democratic

11/8/2022 10:18:43 PM

chase oliver is literally keeping warnock alive right now

11/8/2022 10:20:05 PM