It's getting pretty fun down here. I've been doing live videos on facebook if anyone wants to watch!

9/13/2018 1:57:30 PM

Quote :

"Guess rain is now a reason to cancel school...."

I just don’t understand why people get all tough about when school should and shouldn’t be cancelled.

9/13/2018 2:03:11 PM

Probably don't have kids

9/13/2018 2:05:28 PM

They also consider road conditions for students in rural parts of the county. If buses will have trouble safely getting students to and from school, it's a no-go.

9/13/2018 2:11:03 PM

that flag flying at the Frying Pan Shoals tower is not going to last

9/13/2018 2:20:08 PM

Quote :

"I just don’t understand why people get all tough about when school should and shouldn’t be cancelled."

they’re the same people who get mad and act like meteorologists are lying to them if a forecast isn’t 100% correct

9/13/2018 2:24:34 PM

^No. No they're not. They're people who all of a sudden at the last minute have to make arrangements for child care, because most of the time a person's work isn't going to follow the county school schedule.

I'm not saying I disagree with the decision, as I'm sure buses have trouble in tropical storm force wind. Those things look like they have a high center of gravity.

Just out of curiosity, do ^ have kids?

9/13/2018 2:53:39 PM

NWS has been monitoring some weak rotations int he outer bands already, keep an eye out for tornado watches/warnings

9/13/2018 2:54:06 PM

Quote :

"I just don’t understand why people get all tough about when school should and shouldn’t be cancelled."

Well, back in my day, I walked 10 miles, uphill, in a foot of snow, to school.

Also, all meteorologists are idiots. What other job can you be wrong all the time and not get fired? Why do they act like they know what's going to happen when they don't know any more than you or me?

[Edited on September 13, 2018 at 3:00 PM. Reason : haha, i didn't read the goodlife's post above]

9/13/2018 3:00:06 PM

Well, they make their best guesses based on the evidence they have. They're more accurate than the farmer's almanac. No reason to get mad when they're incorrect though. You can choose to either listen to them, ignore them, or check your redneck weather rock outside.

9/13/2018 3:02:49 PM

I was just being sarastic. I know it's impossible to accurately predict the weather. I was mocking all these people i see on facebook who disparage weather models and meteorologists

9/13/2018 3:07:30 PM

I do have two kids. Both are in school in Greensboro. We are not even supposed to get rain till late tomorrow. That's what I am complaining about. We have turned into a society where everyone is so scared of what could happen they react way to quickly. Hell, my kids got at at 12 today for an early release and the golf course across the street was full of golfers. They missed 2 days last year because there was a threat of snow....

9/13/2018 3:09:47 PM

Quote :

"No. No they're not. They're people who all of a sudden at the last minute have to make arrangements for child care, because most of the time a person's work isn't going to follow the county school schedule. I'm not saying I disagree with the decision, as I'm sure buses have trouble in tropical storm force wind. Those things look like they have a high center of gravity. Just out of curiosity, do ^ have kids?"

no kids, but if I did, I’d be ok with precaution when it came to their safety in severe weather

9/13/2018 3:10:35 PM

Quote :

"What other job can you be wrong all the time and not get fired?"

sports media prognosticator / talking head

9/13/2018 3:20:52 PM

Quote :

"They missed 2 days last year because there was a threat of snow...."

I get making childcare arrangements being a pain. But 2 days because of the threat of snow or 1-2 days because of the threat of flooding...is that really so bad?

Quote :

"We have turned into a society where everyone is so scared of what could happen they react way to quickly."

I don’t know...the whole thing smacks of “back in my day we didn’t have it so easy” which is just the age old cycle of the older folks claiming to have had it harder back in their day.

9/13/2018 3:36:51 PM

Oceana pier in Atlantic Beach is already down.

9/13/2018 3:52:00 PM

9/13/2018 3:54:32 PM

Quote :

"What other job can you be wrong all the time and not get fired?"

President of these United States

9/13/2018 4:00:34 PM

Got em

9/13/2018 4:02:33 PM

Is this thing expected to take out many trees? That's my main concern since I have so many close my house.

[Edited on September 13, 2018 at 4:04 PM. Reason : I'm in piedmont NC]

9/13/2018 4:03:44 PM

Did quite a large jog North it looks like. Slowed down quite a bit as well now in terms of movement, not wind speed.

It's ripping at that Frying Pan tower right now and still a good 12 hours to go.

____

^you need to watch and see how far north it moves before it hits land. That will be a good tell for how much wind/rain we get in Raleigh

as of now, the track wont do as much as earlier in the week when it tracked NNW

[Edited on September 13, 2018 at 4:05 PM. Reason : f]

9/13/2018 4:04:11 PM

Bored

9/13/2018 4:11:40 PM

^you just signed up/posted today, no wonder.

9/13/2018 4:13:50 PM

Everything I'm reading says you don't need to worry about trees snapping until winds are 75+ mph. That being said, if the ground is super saturated they can uproot and fall over.

9/13/2018 4:17:06 PM

Can anybody find a live cam south of Myrtle? Surfside, Garden City, Murrells Inlet, Litchfield, Pawleys?

[Edited on September 13, 2018 at 4:31 PM. Reason : nvmd, found one at Murrells Inlet https://wpde.com/weather/cameras/murrells-inlet-live-beach-camera]

9/13/2018 4:20:09 PM

Theres a few, but literally nothing going on in them compared to the others

9/13/2018 4:31:42 PM

Here is one at North Topsail Beach, NC: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R74SiafhLXk

9/13/2018 4:37:27 PM

JT3 how are you determining it took a jog north, where are you seeing that?

9/13/2018 4:42:39 PM

Looking at the past track.

They had it up on TWC earlier, not sure what website or software they were using, but it did an almost due north jog which i believe made them change the forecast cone.

Also the eye did a small restructure over the past 2 hours. Pretty cool to see. This storm as maintained itself pretty well.

9/13/2018 4:52:52 PM

It looks like its following the projected path to me, how is it north? And I thought the eyeball replacement was actually just the backside of the eye not yet in range of the radar. Where are you getting this? If it's from that weather forum stop reading that site

9/13/2018 5:07:46 PM

Watching infared loop and the cloud cover maps along with the NWS info.
It was a really short job due north, nothing that will show up on their 'prediction cone'

9/13/2018 5:13:46 PM

Quote :

"It's getting pretty fun down here. I've been doing live videos on facebook if anyone wants to watch!"

Just keep posting here instead. Sounds like a total blast.

9/13/2018 5:22:42 PM

ABC11's model had a lower forecast than NWS, wind gusts just into the 30's for our area

9/13/2018 5:26:52 PM

ABC11's model had a lower forecast than NWS, wind gusts just into the 30's for our area

9/13/2018 5:27:18 PM

I'll stick to the NWS. Think they know a little more IMO

9/13/2018 5:44:02 PM

They're also not showing a northern jog

9/13/2018 5:47:36 PM

Again, the forecast map wont show the jog...

Reading comprehension ftw.

There's a reason why the NWS has moved the track more northward in terms of where it will make landfall and why they are upping the warnings in terms of which counties get warnings.

____

Look at the infared map right now and tell me you don't see that eye going straight north...

[Edited on September 13, 2018 at 5:49 PM. Reason : g]

9/13/2018 5:49:08 PM

9/13/2018 6:04:11 PM

in a flood zone here, RIP lol

9/13/2018 6:08:09 PM

Quote :

"There's a reason why the NWS has moved the track more northward in terms of where it will make landfall and why they are upping the warnings in terms of which counties get warnings"

Link? when did they increase anything?

Watches and warnings are increasing just because the storm is getting closer, the forecast hasn't changed from what ivive seen

[Edited on September 13, 2018 at 6:27 PM. Reason : .]

9/13/2018 6:26:50 PM

You STILL don't see the jog???

9/13/2018 6:27:27 PM

9/13/2018 6:28:30 PM

Anyone have video from the OBX or other coastal areas? Seems many webcams have gone down.

9/13/2018 6:30:19 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R74SiafhLXk

North Topsail

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=deG4NxkouGM

Frying Pan Tower

9/13/2018 6:32:26 PM

Here's the latest NWS raleigh briefing:
https://www.weather.gov/media/rah/briefing/NWSRaleighLatestBriefing.pdf

everything looks inline with this morning's forecast, i don't see any significant changes other than the rain amounts increasing a bit

9/13/2018 6:33:44 PM

The pier is still there.

9/13/2018 6:55:30 PM

JT3 should never be taken seriously

9/13/2018 7:02:28 PM

Hot take: that flying pan tower flag is way more insulting than anyone kneeling

9/13/2018 7:03:24 PM

I think people have seriously been complaining about that

9/13/2018 7:15:49 PM

Curious about Morehead City and Atlantic Beach. My parents lost power in the morning/mid-day on Hwy 24.

9/13/2018 7:19:00 PM