No one knows anything. Pa and va are key.

11/8/2016 10:18:19 PM

One thing is certain, I didn't buy enough beer

11/8/2016 10:19:16 PM

Quote :

"you got to read the 538 live blog, they're saying trump. Not sure what's up with their bot."

you're talking about here, right? http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/

That graphic on the right shows 38% too, and I don't see any posts saying otherwise.

[Edited on November 8, 2016 at 10:20 PM. Reason : they're talking about freaking mosquitos]

11/8/2016 10:19:20 PM

^^^ take a plain look at the numbers, this is devastating for Hillary and democrats.

Last time GOP had control of president and congress, without the popular vote for president (which looks likely) we got the Iraq war.

This is literally the worst case scenario.

[Edited on November 8, 2016 at 10:20 PM. Reason : ]

11/8/2016 10:20:14 PM

Paddy Power sounds like a retardedly run business

11/8/2016 10:20:31 PM

^^^ looks like nyt is leaning heavily on historical vote by district, 538 isn't considering that. Nyt is using a very granular model.

11/8/2016 10:22:00 PM

DNC asked for this...

11/8/2016 10:22:40 PM

Trump right now is only losing Wayne County, Michigan (where Detroit is) 51-43. Obama won this county 73-26 over Romney.

Still more votes to come, but Democrats taking organized labor for granted might've finally bit them in the ass.

11/8/2016 10:22:57 PM

has anyone checked on Shrike and golielax?

11/8/2016 10:24:48 PM

This is fucking insanity. I was watching Fox to enjoy the denial and now Trump has a real serious chance at winning.

11/8/2016 10:24:56 PM

Quote :

"Are dumb, uneducated white trash seriously going to win this guy the election?"

Apparently it wasn't just uneducated white trash.

Shy Trump voter theory confirmed?

11/8/2016 10:25:05 PM

so is this the end of neoliberalism or do yall wanna double down in 2020?

11/8/2016 10:26:18 PM

CNN calls Ohio for Donald Trump.

11/8/2016 10:26:29 PM

538 catching up to NYC

showing 55% for Trump

11/8/2016 10:28:03 PM

86% trump

11/8/2016 10:28:39 PM

So I assume that this is the end of Nate Silver being treated like some kind of God, right? You shouldn't be allowed to be this wrong and still be viewed as the best in class.

11/8/2016 10:29:57 PM

lol hillary has a 14% chance of becoming president. Thats the lowest its been in 25 years.

11/8/2016 10:30:40 PM

the Ohio call just pushed fivethirtyeight to 55% Trump.

11/8/2016 10:31:18 PM

Quote :

"So I assume that this is the end of Nate Silver being treated like some kind of God, right? You shouldn't be allowed to be this wrong and still be viewed as the best in class."

35% != 0%

11/8/2016 10:32:03 PM

I don't even know how to process this.... Even if Hillary wins the fact trump has done this well is concerning

11/8/2016 10:32:48 PM

great job everyone!

11/8/2016 10:33:33 PM

Silver screwed up Trump winning the Republican primary. He screwed up Trump winning the presidential race. The name of his site is 538, it's entirely based on presidential race prognostication.

11/8/2016 10:33:52 PM

If anything I see this giving 538 more credibility. People were shitting all over them for giving Trump as high of a probability as they did. Most every other outlet was giving Clinton a 90%+ chance of winning.

11/8/2016 10:35:32 PM

538 back to 52% Clinton.

11/8/2016 10:37:59 PM

NYT at 91% Trump now.

[Edited on November 8, 2016 at 10:41 PM. Reason : ]

11/8/2016 10:38:02 PM

Select results for Gary Johnson:

Arizona - 3.6%
Colorado - 4.5%
Illinois - 3.7%
Indiana - 4.8%
Kansas - 4.5%
Maine - 5.0%
Massachusetts - 4.3%
Michigan - 3.6%
Minnesota - 3.8%
Montana - 5.5%
Nebraska - 4.3%
New Hampshire - 4.3%
New Mexico - 8.5%
North Dakota - 6.4%
Oklahoma - 5.7%
South Dakota - 5.2%
Vermont - 3.5%
Wisconsin - 3.7%
Wyoming - 5.8%

Evan McMullin is getting 21.9% in Utah early in reporting.

11/8/2016 10:42:31 PM

[Edited on November 8, 2016 at 10:44 PM. Reason : Clinton is in trouble in Wisconsin]

11/8/2016 10:43:49 PM

Looks like GOP swept a lot of local races in NC, not sure if this trend held across the country.

11/8/2016 10:44:31 PM

Fox calls NC for Trump

11/8/2016 10:46:22 PM

North Carolina just called for Trump.

Also, over half the states in the country will have legalized marijuana either medically or flat out as of this election.

11/8/2016 10:46:25 PM

Quote :

"has anyone checked on Shrike and golielax?"

Yes, because me being wrong is the most important thing to be concerned about right now I was in good company at least, not that I take any solace in this.

11/8/2016 10:49:32 PM

Turns out the country is more racist than 538 thought!

11/8/2016 10:51:38 PM

still talking about racists really? when will you just admit that your party has failed?

11/8/2016 10:53:58 PM

The amazing thing to me is the large "Never Trump" vote that Johnson is getting a lot of. Maybe Johnson is getting some Bernie voters, but he's probably taking more from Trump than Hillary. (i.e. Trump's margin could be bigger)

11/8/2016 10:55:23 PM

stein getting nothing anywhere

11/8/2016 10:58:01 PM

This is depressing.

11/8/2016 10:59:52 PM

fucked by america's wang

again

11/8/2016 11:03:16 PM

considering that most polls were showing a swing towards Hillary in the last week, the polls had to be in complete error earlier. This looks like America's version of the Brexit with respect to erroneous polls.

It's going to be interesting watching what happens in the stock market tomorrow, regardless of who wins.

11/8/2016 11:06:28 PM

Thanks uneducated white voters.

[Edited on November 8, 2016 at 11:12 PM. Reason : ]

11/8/2016 11:06:34 PM

dow futures already down 6%

11/8/2016 11:08:32 PM

blame the fucking DNC. they cost us the presidency, house, and senate.

11/8/2016 11:09:56 PM

the DNC has been losing seats for years

11/8/2016 11:10:51 PM

^^ very true

Bernie would have beat trump

[Edited on November 8, 2016 at 11:11 PM. Reason : ]

11/8/2016 11:11:11 PM

Biden would have won had he ran.

11/8/2016 11:12:12 PM

blame the FBI

11/8/2016 11:12:14 PM

Will be a good day to buy some stocks at least

11/8/2016 11:12:41 PM

Thanks Comey.

11/8/2016 11:13:02 PM

Outstanding States with an appreciable number of votes:

Quote :

"Arizona, 29.5% in: Trump 49.2%, Clinton 46.0% (+48000) Florida, 99.3% in: Trump 49.2%, Clinton 47.7% (+134000) Georgia, 71.5% in: Trump 53.7%, Clinton 43.3% (+316000) Iowa, 25.8% in: Clinton 49.6%, Trump 44.8% (+29000) Maine, 41.3% in: Clinton 48.5%, Trump 44.3% (+12700) Michigan, 52.2% in: Trump 48.3%, Clinton 46.7% (+39000) Minnesota, 34.1% in: Clinton 50.5%, Trump 41.7% (+106000) New Hampshire, 59% in: Trump 48.3%, Clinton 46.4% (+8400) Oregon, 61% in: Clinton 53.9%, Trump 39.7% (+185000) Pennsylvania, 81.2% in: Clinton 49.4%, Trump 47.1% (+101000) Utah, 9.5% in: Trump 56.8%, Clinton 20.2%, McMullin 19.1% (+40000) Wisconsin, 62% in: Trump 49.2%, Clinton 45.7% (+63000)"

11/8/2016 11:13:10 PM

so that la times poll...

11/8/2016 11:13:43 PM

dow futures down more than 9/11

11/8/2016 11:14:47 PM